{"id":276835,"date":"2016-04-11T10:40:29","date_gmt":"2016-04-11T03:40:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/vibiznews.com\/?p=276835"},"modified":"2016-04-11T10:40:29","modified_gmt":"2016-04-11T03:40:29","slug":"akankah-pertumbuhan-ekonomi-as-q1-2016-turun","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2016\/04\/11\/akankah-pertumbuhan-ekonomi-as-q1-2016-turun\/","title":{"rendered":"Akankah Pertumbuhan Ekonomi AS Q1-2016 Turun?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"Some economists now see first-quarter growth as negligible, and it could easily turn out to be negative.\n\n\">Beberapa ekonom memperkirakan pertumbuhan kuartal pertama turun, dan itu bisa dengan mudah berubah menjadi negatif.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"Economists shaved already weak growth forecasts by a few more tenths Friday, after wholesale inventories fell 0.5 percent month over month in February, much more than the anticipated 0.1 percent decline.\">Ekonom memotong perkiraan pertumbuhan yang lemah, setelah persediaan grosir turun 0,5 persen lebih turun dari bulan Februari, lebih dari penurunan diantisipasi 0,1 persen. <\/span><span title=\"January was also revised down by 0.4 percent.\n\n\">Januari juga direvisi turun sebesar 0,4 persen.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"The closely watched Atlanta Fed GDPNow model now shows first-quarter growth tracking at 0.1 percent, compared to a 0.4 percent estimate earlier in the week.\">Model Atlanta Fed GDPNow yang diawasi ketat menunjukkan saat ini pelacakan kuartal pertama pelacakan pertumbuhan sebesar 0,1 persen, dibandingkan dengan perkiraan 0,4 persen pada awal minggu.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"JPMorgan economists now forecast the economy only expanded by 0.2 percent in the first quarter, from 0.7 percent.\n\n\">Ekonom JPMorgan saat ini memperkirakan ekonomi hanya tumbuh sebesar 0,2 persen pada kuartal pertama, dari 0,7 persen sebelumnya.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"Barclays economists shaved tracking GDP growth for the first quarter to 0.3 percent from 0.4 percent.\n\n\">Ekonom Barclays mencukur pelacakan pertumbuhan PDB untuk kuartal pertama menjadi 0,3 persen dari 0,4 persen.<\/p>\n<p><\/span><span title=\"&quot;Weaker-than-expected wholesale inventories in February, along with downward revision to prior months' data, cut our estimate of total private inventory investment in Q1. Part of the decline in wholesale inventories in February look anomalous however, leading us to revise up\">&#8220;Lebih lemah dari perkiraan persediaan grosir pada bulan Februari, bersama dengan revisi ke bawah data bulan sebelumnya &#8216;, memotong perkiraan kami pada total investasi persediaan swasta di Q1. Bagian dari penurunan persediaan grosir pada bulan Februari terlihat anomali. Namun, membawa kita untuk merevisi naik <\/span><span title=\"our March wholesale inventory assumption,&quot; said Barclays economists in a note.\n\n\">asumsi Maret persediaan grosir, &#8220;kata ekonom Barclays dalam sebuah catatan.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"The JPMorgan economists, however, say there may be light at the end of the tunnel.\n\n\">Sementara ekonom JPMorgan, mengatakan mungkin ada sedikit titik terang. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"&quot;While 1Q is adding up to be a clear disappointment relative to expectations from a few weeks ago, it now looks like the inventory correction was largely completed by the start of the second quarter, which is a favorable development for growth in that period. We\">&#8220;saat ini kelihatannya koreksi persediaan sebagian besar selesai pada awal kuartal kedua, yang merupakan perkembangan yang baik untuk pertumbuhan di masa itu. Kami <\/span><span title=\"now think that real inventories increased $54bn saar in 1Q, a rate that is likely to be sustainable moving forward,&quot; wrote JPMorgan economist Daniel Silver, in a note.\n\n\">sekarang berpikir bahwa persediaan nyata meningkat $ 54bn saat ini pada Q1, tingkat yang kemungkinan akan berkelanjutan bergerak maju, &#8220;tulis ekonom JPMorgan Daniel Silver, dalam sebuah catatan.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"The CNBC\/Moody's Analytics Rapid Update, a broader look at tracking forecasts of nine economists, was higher at 0.6 percent, as some economists continued to hold out hope that the economy grew close to 1 percent or higher in the first quarter.\">The CNBC \/ Moody Analytics, melihat lebih luas di perkiraan pelacakan sembilan ekonom, lebih tinggi di 0,6 persen, karena beberapa ekonom terus mempertahankan perkiraan bahwa perekonomian tumbuh mendekati 1 persen atau lebih tinggi pada kuartal pertama. <\/span><span title=\"Economists in the survey shaved first-quarter growth by an average 0.1 percent based on inventories.\n\n\">Ekonom dalam survei mencukur pertumbuhan kuartal pertama oleh 0,1 persen rata-rata berdasarkan persediaan.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"Whatever the first-quarter GDP number is when reported on April 28, it's likely to be revised and it could easily be negative \u2014 or positive.\">Jumlah PDB kuartal pertama akan dilaporkan pada tanggal 28 April, kemungkinan untuk direvisi dan kemungkinan bisa negatif atau positif. <\/span><span title=\"According to a CNBC study, the average error rate since 1990 in government quarterly GDP reports was plus or minus 1.3 percent.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\">Menurut sebuah studi CNBC, tingkat kesalahan rata-rata sejak tahun 1990 dalam laporan GDP kuartalan pemerintah adalah plus atau minus 1,3 persen.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 8pt;\"><em>Freddy\/ VMN\/VBN\/ Analyst-Vibiz Research Center<\/em><\/span><br \/><span style=\"font-size: 8pt;\"><em>Editor: Asido Situmorang<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Beberapa ekonom memperkirakan pertumbuhan kuartal pertama turun, dan itu bisa dengan mudah berubah menjadi negatif. Ekonom memotong perkiraan pertumbuhan yang lemah, setelah persediaan grosir turun 0,5 persen lebih turun dari bulan Februari, lebih dari penurunan diantisipasi 0,1 persen. Januari juga direvisi turun sebesar 0,4 persen. Model Atlanta Fed GDPNow yang diawasi ketat menunjukkan saat ini [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":43768,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[1843],"class_list":["post-276835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy-business","tag-pertumbuhan-ekonomi-as-kuartal-1"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Akankah Pertumbuhan Ekonomi AS Q1-2016 Turun? - Vibiznews.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2016\/04\/11\/akankah-pertumbuhan-ekonomi-as-q1-2016-turun\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Akankah Pertumbuhan Ekonomi AS Q1-2016 Turun? - Vibiznews.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Beberapa ekonom memperkirakan pertumbuhan kuartal pertama turun, dan itu bisa dengan mudah berubah menjadi negatif. Ekonom memotong perkiraan pertumbuhan yang lemah, setelah persediaan grosir turun 0,5 persen lebih turun dari bulan Februari, lebih dari penurunan diantisipasi 0,1 persen. Januari juga direvisi turun sebesar 0,4 persen. 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