{"id":290627,"date":"2016-06-14T15:50:15","date_gmt":"2016-06-14T08:50:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/vibiznews.com\/?p=290627"},"modified":"2016-06-14T15:50:15","modified_gmt":"2016-06-14T08:50:15","slug":"pro-brexit-semakin-menguat-bagaimana-keputusan-the-fed-as","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2016\/06\/14\/pro-brexit-semakin-menguat-bagaimana-keputusan-the-fed-as\/","title":{"rendered":"Pro Brexit Semakin Menguat, Bagaimana Keputusan The Fed AS?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"Less than two weeks ago, Fed watchers had seen a chance for a rate hike at this meeting, but the 38,000 nonfarm payrolls in the May jobs report were about 100,000 below some of the lowest forecasts.\n\n\">Kurang dari dua minggu yang lalu, pengamat Fed telah melihat kesempatan untuk kenaikan suku bunga pada pertemuan Juni ini, tetapi hasil nonfarm payrolls AS dalam laporan pekerjaan Mei yang lemah dibawah perkiraan memudarkan ekspektasi tersebut.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"&quot;If it hadn't been for the employment report, there was a decent chance they could've gone this week,&quot; says Goldman Sachs' chief U.S. economist Jan Hatzius, speaking on &quot;Closing Bell.&quot;\">&#8220;Kalau bukan karena laporan kerja, ada kesempatan baik bahwa suku bunga bisa naik minggu ini,&#8221; kata kepala ekonom Goldman Sachs AS, Jan Hatzius. <\/span><span title=\"&quot;Now the question is what do they signal about what happens after the June meeting for July, September.&quot;\n\n\">&#8220;Sekarang pertanyaannya adalah sinyal apa yang terjadi setelah pertemuan Juni untuk bulan Juli, September.&#8221;<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"He says there is a chance the Fed could still hike in the next couple of months, but some Fed watchers say Fed Chair Janet Yellen will provide a time frame and will likely leave the options open.\n\n\">Hatzius mengatakan ada kemungkinan The Fed masih bisa mendaki di beberapa bulan ke depan, tetapi beberapa pengamat Fed mengatakan Ketua Fed Janet Yellen akan memberikan kerangka waktu dan kemungkinan akan meninggalkan pilihan terbuka. <\/span><span title=\"&quot;We have a 35 percent chance on July and the same on September,&quot; Hatzius explains.\">&#8220;Ada kesempatan 35 persen pada bulan Juli dan yang sama pada September,&#8221; Hatzius menjelaskan. <\/span><span title=\"&quot;So I think there's a decent chance the Brexit vote is a factor, but I think what the most important factor is whether the next employment report shows the last one to be an outlier on the low side.&quot;\n\n\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"Meanwhile, markets have been sizing up the pending June 23 U.K. vote on whether to leave the European Union.\">Sementara itu, pasar akan mencermati referendum 23 Juni Inggris yang akan memilih apakah untuk meninggalkan Uni Eropa atau tidak. <\/span><span title=\"Fed officials have warned that volatility around the Brexit vote could impact their rate hiking decision, so odds had not been high for a June hike, even before the employment report.\n\n\">Pejabat Fed telah memperingatkan bahwa volatilitas sekitar Brexit dapat mempengaruhi keputusan kenaikan suku bunga mereka, sehingga kemungkinan tidak terjadi kenaikan pada Juni, bahkan sebelum laporan kerja.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"The Brexit has been weighing on European stock markets, and is now rattling the U.S. stock market.\">Brexit telah membebani pasar saham Eropa, dan kini bergerak memasuki pasar saham AS. <\/span><span title=\"The S&amp;P 500 lost 17 points to 2,079 Monday.\">Indeks S &amp; P 500 kehilangan 17 poin untuk mencapai 2.079 pada Senin. <\/span><span title=\"The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX has shot up to 20.97, a jump of more than 50 percent in five trading sessions, implying expectations for big swings in the stock market.\n\n\">Indeks Volatilitas CBOE, atau VIX telah menembus hingga 20,97, lonjakan lebih dari 50 persen dalam lima sesi perdagangan, menyiratkan harapan untuk perubahan besar di pasar saham.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"Bond yields have also been moving lower on central bank easing but also due in part to concerns about the U.K. vote.\">Imbal hasil obligasi juga telah bergerak lebih rendah pada pelonggaran bank sentral tetapi juga karena sebagian kekhawatiran tentang Brexit. Obligasi <\/span><span title=\"The German 10-year bund was yielding barely above zero Monday afternoon, and the U.S. 10-year yield touched a low of 1.60 percent Monday.\">Jerman 10 tahun menghasilkan hampir di atas nol Senin sore, dan yield 10-tahun AS menyentuh rendah dari 1,60 persen Senin. <\/span><span title=\"The impact in currency crosses has been particularly dramatic.\n\n\">Dampak pada persilangan mata uang telah sangat dramatis.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"New polls giving Brexit a slight lead and The Sun newspaper's endorsement of Brexit Monday night could fuel more volatility.\">Berbagai jajak pendapat memberi Brexit memimpin sedikit dan pengesahan surat kabar The Sun untuk Brexit Senin malam ini bisa menyulut gejolak. Dukungan <\/span><span title=\"The Sun'sendorsement could be influential.\">The Sun bisa berpengaruh. <\/span><span title=\"The newspaper famously claimed to have changed the outcome of the 1992 general election by turning against Labour and Neil Kinnock at the last minute, and backing Conservative John Major, who went on to become prime minister.\n\n\">Surat kabar itu terkenal telah mengubah hasil pemilu 1992 dengan memutar menentang Pekerja dan Neil Kinnock pada menit terakhir, dan mendukung Konservatif John Major, yang kemudian menjadi Perdana Menteri.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"&quot;If Britain actually votes for Brexit, it opens up the Pandora's box. It creates a road map for every other country to leave the European Union,&quot; says Boris Schlossberg, head of foreign exchange strategy at BK Asset Management.\n\n\">&#8220;Jika Inggris benar-benar memberikan suara untuk Brexit, ini menciptakan peta jalan untuk setiap negara lainnya untuk meninggalkan Uni Eropa,&#8221; kata Boris Schlossberg, kepala strategi valuta asing di BK Asset Management.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"The pound has been the most actively traded instrument, particularly against the yen.\">Pound telah instrumen yang paling aktif diperdagangkan, terutama terhadap yen. <\/span><span title=\"&quot;That's the single biggest volatility trade in this whole trade,&quot; Schlossberg says.\n\n\">&#8220;Itulah satu perdagangan volatilitas terbesar di seluruh perdagangan ini,&#8221; kata Schlossberg.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"Sterling is down 1.5 percent against the dollar in the past week.\">Sterling turun 1,5 persen terhadap dolar dalam seminggu terakhir. <\/span><span title=\"The euro has also been selling off against the Swiss franc, and investors large and small have been piling into gold.\n\n\">Euro juga telah menjual terhadap franc Swiss, dan investor besar dan kecil telah beralih menumpuk menjadi emas.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"In the U.K., two new polls showed public opinion over a Brexit remained divided.\">Di Inggris, jajak pendapat baru menunjukkan opini publik lebih kepada Brexit. <\/span><span title=\"An ORB poll for the Telegraph showed 48 percent of Britons would vote to remain in the European Union, while 49 percent would vote to leave.\n\n\">Sebuah jajak pendapat ORB untuk Telegraph menunjukkan 48 persen warga Inggris akan memilih untuk &#8220;tetap&#8221; di Uni Eropa, sementara 49 persen akan memilih untuk &#8220;meninggalkan&#8221;.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"A YouGov poll for the Times of London showed 46 percent preferred to leave, while 39 percent wanted to remain.\">Sebuah jajak pendapat YouGov untuk Times of London menunjukkan 46 persen lebih suka untuk &#8220;meninggalkan&#8221;, sementara 39 persen ingin &#8220;tetap&#8221;. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"Popular British newspaper The Sun also endorsed the leave vote for the upcoming referendum vote on June 23.\n\n\">Koran populer Inggris The Sun juga mendukung suara &#8220;meninggalkan&#8221; untuk referendum mendatang pada 23 Juni.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 8pt;\" title=\"&quot;Overall, these survey results give us confidence in our near-term view of the economic outlook, which sees the non-mining recovery remaining on track,&quot; he added. \"><em>Doni\/VBN\/VMN\/Analyst Vibiz Research Center<br \/>\nEditor : Asido Situmorang<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kurang dari dua minggu yang lalu, pengamat Fed telah melihat kesempatan untuk kenaikan suku bunga pada pertemuan Juni ini, tetapi hasil nonfarm payrolls AS dalam laporan pekerjaan Mei yang lemah dibawah perkiraan memudarkan ekspektasi tersebut. &#8220;Kalau bukan karena laporan kerja, ada kesempatan baik bahwa suku bunga bisa naik minggu ini,&#8221; kata kepala ekonom Goldman Sachs [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":290261,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,17],"tags":[811,1097],"class_list":["post-290627","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy-business","category-popular_news","tag-brexit","tag-the-federal-reserve-as"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Pro Brexit Semakin Menguat, Bagaimana Keputusan The Fed AS? 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