{"id":316559,"date":"2016-10-04T17:30:14","date_gmt":"2016-10-04T10:30:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/vibiznews.com\/?p=316559"},"modified":"2016-10-05T17:40:06","modified_gmt":"2016-10-05T10:40:06","slug":"krisis-deutsche-bank-dari-peringatan-imf-hingga-denda-departemen-kehakiman-as","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2016\/10\/04\/krisis-deutsche-bank-dari-peringatan-imf-hingga-denda-departemen-kehakiman-as\/","title":{"rendered":"Krisis Deutsche Bank : Dari Peringatan IMF Hingga Denda Departemen Kehakiman AS"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"The International Monetary Fund warned three months ago that Deutsche Bank posed a potential systemic threat to the global financial system.\">Dana Moneter Internasional (IMF) rupanya sudah memberi peringatan tiga bulan lalu bahwa Deutsche Bank berpotensi menjadi ancaman sistemik terhadap sistem keuangan global, dan hal itu terlihat sekarang.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"The IMF has reported that one of the largest financial institutions in the world, Deutsche Bank, \u201cappears to be the most important net contributor to systemic risks, followed by HSBC and Credit Suisse\u201d.\">Tiga bulan lalu IMF telah melaporkan bahwa salah satu lembaga keuangan terbesar di dunia, Deutsche Bank, &#8220;tampaknya menjadi kontributor paling penting untuk risiko sistemik, diikuti oleh HSBC dan Credit Suisse&#8221;. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"In a worst-case scenario, this essentially means that Deutsche Bank is so important to the global financial network, that its collapse could be disastrous to the banking sector. \">Dalam skenario terburuk, Deutsche Bank sangat mempengaruhi jaringan keuangan global, yang keruntuhannya bisa menjadi bencana untuk sektor perbankan.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\" title=\"\u201cIn particular, Germany, France, the UK and the US have the highest degree of outward spillovers as measured by the average percentage of capital loss of other banking systems due to banking sector shock in the source country,\u201d the Washington-based organisation said\"><span title=\"The case of Deutsche Bank, which just failed the US Federal Reserve\u2019s stress test for the second consecutive year, underlines the need for risk management, intense supervision of large banks and close monitoring of cross-border exposures. \">Kasus Deutsche Bank, yang gagal stress test Federal Reserve AS untuk tahun kedua berturut-turut, menggarisbawahi kebutuhan untuk manajemen risiko, pengawasan ketat bank-bank besar dan pemantauan ketat eksposur lintas batas.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span title=\"The IMF concluded that Germany needs to closely examine whether its banking and liquidation plans are indeed implementable, as well as ensuring whether the relevant authorities can maintain control over a bank if resolution actions take time to come into force. \">IMF menyimpulkan bahwa Jerman perlu untuk meneliti apakah rencana perbankan dan likuidasi memang diimplementasikan, serta memastikan apakah otoritas terkait dapat mempertahankan kontrol atas bank.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><\/span><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"Deutsche Bank is in the news for all the wrong reasons.\">Deutsche Bank telah menjadi berita yang mengguncangkan pasar. <\/span><span title=\"Some speculators believe that it will be the 2008 Lehman Brothers collapse all over again.\">Beberapa spekulan percaya bahwa itu akan menjadi krisis 2008 Lehman Brothers lagi. Harga <\/span><span title=\"Shares in the bank were briefly driven down to single digits.\">saham bank sebentar lagi bisa menjadi satu digit. <\/span><span title=\"They seem to have stabilised around \u20ac10 but this remains well below the \u20ac30 just over a year ago and \u20ac100 a share in 2007. And the bank\u2019s future is uncertain. \">Saat ini telah stabil sekitar \u20ac 10 tetapi ini masih jauh di bawah \u20ac 30 lebih dari setahun yang lalu, dan \u20ac 100 per saham pada tahun 2007.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\" title=\"Clearly investors are worried and there is an absence of people who believe even \u20ac10 would be a sensible investment.\"><span title=\"Three structural issues \">P<\/span><span title=\"New regulation since the financial crisis requires that banks must accumulate their profits to create a greater cushion against the risks that became apparent in 2008. This means that the profits that Deutsche will earn over the next few years will be used to increase the size of that\">eraturan baru sejak krisis keuangan mengharuskan bank harus mengumpulkan keuntungan mereka untuk membuat bantalan yang lebih besar terhadap risiko. Ini berarti bahwa keuntungan yang Deutsche akan peroleh dari beberapa tahun ke depan bisa jadi tidak <\/span><span title=\"cushion rather than being returned to shareholders.\">kembali ke pemegang saham.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span title=\"Large well-established banks have a second problem.\">Bank besar ini juga memiliki masalah dengan <\/span><span title=\"They have become fat with too many employees juggling outdated, disparate and often dysfunctional IT systems.\">memiliki terlalu banyak karyawan. <\/span><span title=\"Deutsche has more than 100,000 employees.\">Deutsche memiliki lebih dari 100.000 karyawan. Sejumlah pegawai di <\/span><span title=\"Its retail branches \u2013 a number of which have been cut this year \u2013 are labour intensive and add to these problems. \">cabang ritel telah dipotong tahun ini. Jadi kelebihan tenaga kerja menambah masalah ini.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"Dealing with this problem requires reinvesting some of its profits in restructuring its activities \u2013 which again means less money for shareholders in the short-run.\">Berurusan dengan masalah ini memerlukan investasi kembali sebagian keuntungannya dalam kegiatan restrukturisasi, yang berarti lebih sedikit uang untuk pemegang saham dalam jangka pendek. <\/span><span title=\"Failure to do so, however, will create opportunities for new entrants to the banking market such as alternative finance and new fintech operations. \">Kegagalan untuk melakukannya, akan menciptakan peluang bagi pendatang baru untuk pasar perbankan seperti keuangan alternatif dan operasi fintech baru.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span title=\"The European Central Bank\u2019s negative interest rate policy is compounding problems.\">Kebijakan suku bunga negatif Bank Sentral Eropa adalah juga penambah masalah. <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span title=\"These structural issues are well known.\">Permasalahan besar adalah <\/span><span title=\"The catalyst for the recent action is a US$14 billion fine from the US Department of Justice for mis-selling mortgage bonds a decade ago.\">tindakan baru-baru ini dengan densa US $ 14 miliar dari Departemen Kehakiman AS untuk kesalahan penjualan obligasi hipotek. <\/span><span title=\"Deutsche is looking to negotiate a smaller figure, but if the $14 billion fine sticks the bank could need to raise another \u20ac9 billion of equity.\">Deutsche berupaya untuk menegosiasikan angka yang lebih kecil. <\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span id=\"result_box\" class=\"\" lang=\"id\"><span title=\"While Deutsche talks confidently of lowering its fine, it is unlikely to attract buyers for its stock.\">Permasalahan terus mengancam Deustche Bank. <\/span><span title=\"Meanwhile, speculators betting on a decrease in the share price are pushing an open door.\">Dengan penurunan harga saham, <\/span><span title=\"Plus, given the dysfunctional nature of eurozone financial regulation, the high political costs of German government intervention and risk of signalling that larger eurozone members play by a different set of rules \u2013 the German government will be slow to intervene. \">tambah lagi, mengingat sifat disfungsional regulasi keuangan zona Eropa, biaya politik yang tinggi dan juga tindakan lambat pemerintah Jerman untuk campur tangan.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span title=\"Adding to this complexity, the fine from the US government comes just days after the US$13 billion fine the EU hit Apple with, making some suspicious that there is an element of revenge at play.\">Menambah kompleksitas ini, denda dari pemerintah AS datang hanya beberapa hari setelah denda $ 13 miliar Uni Eropa dikenakan kepada Apple, membuat beberapa curiga bahwa ada unsur balas dendam. <\/span><span title=\"True or not, the uncertain outcome during the lengthy appeals process will only increase the perceived risks of an investment in Deutsche Bank. \">Benar atau tidak, hasil yang tidak pasti selama proses banding yang panjang hanya akan meningkatkan risiko berinvestasi di Deutsche Bank.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span title=\"From the sidelines, one would be sympathetic to the CEO\u2019s statement that Deutsche is a strong bank that is being targeted by \u201cforces that want to weaken us\u201d.\">B<\/span><span title=\"The bank has assets of more than \u20ac1.8 trillion and equity of \u20ac67 billion. \">ank memiliki aset lebih dari \u20ac 1.8 triliun dan ekuitas \u20ac 67 miliar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span title=\"The coming days will largely determine whether the negative feedback loop between confidence and the stock price can be broken.\">Pergerakan mendatang akan sangat menentukan apakah keyakinan konsumen dan harga saham bisa rusak. <\/span><span title=\"At worst, the outcome will be significant economic and political difficulties in the coming weeks.\">Paling buruk, hasilnya akan terjadi kesulitan ekonomi dan politik yang signifikan dalam beberapa minggu mendatang. <\/span><span title=\"At best, it may create a sense of urgency within the eurozone to comprehensively address the banking sector issues that have festered for the past eight years. \">Juga menciptakan rasa urgensi dalam zona Eropa untuk secara komprehensif mengatasi masalah sektor perbankan yang telah memburuk selama delapan tahun terakhir.<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<pre><em>Doni\/VMN\/VBN\/Analyst Vibiz Research Center<\/em>\r\n<em>Editor : Asido Situmorang<\/em><\/pre>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dana Moneter Internasional (IMF) rupanya sudah memberi peringatan tiga bulan lalu bahwa Deutsche Bank berpotensi menjadi ancaman sistemik terhadap sistem keuangan global, dan hal itu terlihat sekarang. Tiga bulan lalu IMF telah melaporkan bahwa salah satu lembaga keuangan terbesar di dunia, Deutsche Bank, &#8220;tampaknya menjadi kontributor paling penting untuk risiko sistemik, diikuti oleh HSBC dan [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":315845,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,23,17],"tags":[4741],"class_list":["post-316559","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy-business","category-index-options","category-popular_news","tag-krisis-deutsche-bank"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Krisis Deutsche Bank : Dari Peringatan IMF Hingga Denda Departemen Kehakiman AS - Vibiznews.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2016\/10\/04\/krisis-deutsche-bank-dari-peringatan-imf-hingga-denda-departemen-kehakiman-as\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Krisis Deutsche Bank : Dari Peringatan IMF Hingga Denda Departemen Kehakiman AS - Vibiznews.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Dana Moneter Internasional (IMF) rupanya sudah memberi peringatan tiga bulan lalu bahwa Deutsche Bank berpotensi menjadi ancaman sistemik terhadap sistem keuangan global, dan hal itu terlihat sekarang. Tiga bulan lalu IMF telah melaporkan bahwa salah satu lembaga keuangan terbesar di dunia, Deutsche Bank, &#8220;tampaknya menjadi kontributor paling penting untuk risiko sistemik, diikuti oleh HSBC dan [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2016\/10\/04\/krisis-deutsche-bank-dari-peringatan-imf-hingga-denda-departemen-kehakiman-as\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Vibiznews.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-10-04T10:30:14+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2016-10-05T10:40:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/deutsche-bank.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"750\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"500\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Doni\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Doni\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2016\/10\/04\/krisis-deutsche-bank-dari-peringatan-imf-hingga-denda-departemen-kehakiman-as\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2016\/10\/04\/krisis-deutsche-bank-dari-peringatan-imf-hingga-denda-departemen-kehakiman-as\/\",\"name\":\"Krisis Deutsche Bank : Dari Peringatan IMF Hingga Denda Departemen Kehakiman AS - 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