{"id":393893,"date":"2018-09-26T17:37:03","date_gmt":"2018-09-26T10:37:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/vibiznews.com\/?p=393893"},"modified":"2018-09-26T17:37:03","modified_gmt":"2018-09-26T10:37:03","slug":"prediksi-ecb-as-lebih-rugi-dalam-perang-dagang-dengan-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2018\/09\/26\/prediksi-ecb-as-lebih-rugi-dalam-perang-dagang-dengan-china\/","title":{"rendered":"Prediksi ECB : AS Lebih Rugi Dalam Perang Dagang Dengan China"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">(Vibiznews &#8211; Economy &amp; Business) Amerika Serikat akan sangat kehilangan jika memulai perang dagang dengan negara lain, sementara China akan lebih baik setelah membalas, demikian simulasi oleh Bank Sentral Eropa (ECB) yang disampaikan pada hari Rabu (26\/09).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Presiden AS Donald Trump Maret memulai perselisihan dengan China yang memberlakukan tarif pada baja, aluminium dan berbagai produk China.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Penelitian ECB mensimulasikan tarif 10 persen AS untuk semua impor dan pembalasan setara dari negara lain. Ini menunjukkan Amerika Serikat akan menanggung beban perdagangan dan merusak kepercayaan konsumen dan investor.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">&#8220;Hasil estimasi menunjukkan bahwa posisi ekspor bersih Amerika Serikat akan memburuk secara substansial,&#8221; kata ECB dalam studi tersebut. &#8220;Dalam model ini, perusahaan AS juga berinvestasi kurang dan mempekerjakan lebih sedikit pekerja, yang memperkuat efek negatif.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">ECB memperkirakan pertumbuhan AS akan dipotong lebih dari 2 poin persentase. Dana Moneter Internasional (IMF) saat ini memperkirakan ekonomi AS untuk berkembang sebesar 2,9 persen tahun ini dan 2,7 persen berikutnya.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Sebaliknya, China akan mendapatkan dengan mengekspor lebih banyak ke negara-negara ketiga di mana barang-barang AS dikenakan tarif, meskipun sedikit keuntungan akan bersifat sementara dan sebagian diimbangi oleh efek negatif pada kepercayaan diri.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Namun model ECB murni secara teoritis; itu tidak mereplikasi kondisi perdagangan yang sebenarnya. Amerika Serikat telah memberlakukan tarif atas $ 200 miliar barang-barang China dan Cina telah membalas dengan tarif sebesar $ 60 miliar barang-barang AS.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Trump juga memberlakukan tarif pada baja aluminium dari Eropa dan mengenakan tarif pada mobil Eropa. Tarif-tarif tersebut telah ditangguhkan sementara oleh kedua pihak yang bernegosiasi untuk mengurangi hambatan perdagangan.<\/p>\n<pre><em>Asido Situmorang, Senior Analyst, Vibiz Research Center, Vibiz Consulting Group<\/em><\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Vibiznews &#8211; Economy &amp; Business) Amerika Serikat akan sangat kehilangan jika memulai perang dagang dengan negara lain, sementara China akan lebih baik setelah membalas, demikian simulasi oleh Bank Sentral Eropa (ECB) yang disampaikan pada hari Rabu (26\/09). Presiden AS Donald Trump Maret memulai perselisihan dengan China yang memberlakukan tarif pada baja, aluminium dan berbagai produk [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":33524,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[29,17],"tags":[335,1155,6933],"class_list":["post-393893","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy-business","category-popular_news","tag-bank-sentral-eropa-ecb","tag-ecb","tag-perang-dagang-as-china"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Prediksi ECB : AS Lebih Rugi Dalam Perang Dagang Dengan China - Vibiznews.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2018\/09\/26\/prediksi-ecb-as-lebih-rugi-dalam-perang-dagang-dengan-china\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Prediksi ECB : AS Lebih Rugi Dalam Perang Dagang Dengan China - Vibiznews.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(Vibiznews &#8211; Economy &amp; Business) Amerika Serikat akan sangat kehilangan jika memulai perang dagang dengan negara lain, sementara China akan lebih baik setelah membalas, demikian simulasi oleh Bank Sentral Eropa (ECB) yang disampaikan pada hari Rabu (26\/09). Presiden AS Donald Trump Maret memulai perselisihan dengan China yang memberlakukan tarif pada baja, aluminium dan berbagai produk [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2018\/09\/26\/prediksi-ecb-as-lebih-rugi-dalam-perang-dagang-dengan-china\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Vibiznews.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-09-26T10:37:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/ecb-2-800-540-euro-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"540\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Asido Situmorang\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Asido Situmorang\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2018\/09\/26\/prediksi-ecb-as-lebih-rugi-dalam-perang-dagang-dengan-china\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2018\/09\/26\/prediksi-ecb-as-lebih-rugi-dalam-perang-dagang-dengan-china\/\",\"name\":\"Prediksi ECB : AS Lebih Rugi Dalam Perang Dagang Dengan China - Vibiznews.com\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2018\/09\/26\/prediksi-ecb-as-lebih-rugi-dalam-perang-dagang-dengan-china\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2018\/09\/26\/prediksi-ecb-as-lebih-rugi-dalam-perang-dagang-dengan-china\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/ecb-2-800-540-euro-1.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-09-26T10:37:03+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2018-09-26T10:37:03+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/#\/schema\/person\/f4e69d2aa33cbc21150bf5f4c57a0ff9\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2018\/09\/26\/prediksi-ecb-as-lebih-rugi-dalam-perang-dagang-dengan-china\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2018\/09\/26\/prediksi-ecb-as-lebih-rugi-dalam-perang-dagang-dengan-china\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2018\/09\/26\/prediksi-ecb-as-lebih-rugi-dalam-perang-dagang-dengan-china\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/ecb-2-800-540-euro-1.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/02\/ecb-2-800-540-euro-1.jpg\",\"width\":800,\"height\":540},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2018\/09\/26\/prediksi-ecb-as-lebih-rugi-dalam-perang-dagang-dengan-china\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Prediksi ECB : AS Lebih Rugi Dalam Perang Dagang Dengan China\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/\",\"name\":\"Vibiznews.com\",\"description\":\"Berita Bisnis | Berita Komoditi | Berita Saham\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/#\/schema\/person\/f4e69d2aa33cbc21150bf5f4c57a0ff9\",\"name\":\"Asido Situmorang\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/3b63d42ac4ef6516f2d81883f4324f6c?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/3b63d42ac4ef6516f2d81883f4324f6c?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Asido Situmorang\"},\"description\":\"Asido is now the Senior Research Economic of Vibiz Research Center and Editor in Chief of Vibiznews.com, that makes market analysis (fundamental &amp; technical) and research of the economy and business of Indonesia and globally, as well as other related topics such as capital and money market. 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