{"id":403087,"date":"2019-01-15T20:00:29","date_gmt":"2019-01-15T13:00:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/vibiznews.com\/?p=403087"},"modified":"2019-01-15T20:51:49","modified_gmt":"2019-01-15T13:51:49","slug":"preview-pemungutan-suara-brexit-pengaruhnya-terhadap-gbpusd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2019\/01\/15\/preview-pemungutan-suara-brexit-pengaruhnya-terhadap-gbpusd\/","title":{"rendered":"Preview Pemungutan Suara Brexit & Pengaruhnya Terhadap GBP\/USD"},"content":{"rendered":"

(Vibiznews-Forex) Kekacauan Brexit terus berlanjut pada hari Senin dengan Perdana Menteri Inggris Theresa May memperingati anggota parlemen untuk mendukung kesepakatan Brexit (Brexit deal) sebagaimana adanya atau menghadapi kekacauan politik dengan hanya tinggal 73 hari tersisa sebelum Inggris secara resmi keluar dari Uni Eropa pada tanggal 29 Maret. Diatas semua ini, penguat dari partai konsevatif Inggris Gareth Johnson berkata dia meninggalkan pemerintah Inggris pada hari sebelum pemungutan suara yang penuh arti di Dewan Perwakilan Rakyat (DPR) pada hari Selasa.<\/p>\n

Pemerintah Inggris menunda pemungutan suara yang diskedulkan untuk bulan Desember karena kemungkinan akan kalah. Perdana Menteri Theresa May mengadakan tour \u00a0ke Eropa dalam rangka mengamankan konsesi mengenai isu Irlandia yang menjadi penghalang, namun partner-partner di Eropa yang ditemui \u00a0hanya mau memberikan klarifikasi tetapi tidak mengubah kalimat yang legal.<\/p>\n

Kemungkinan kecil bagi kesepakatan Brexit nya May dapat disetujui oleh DPR dalam pemungutan suara hari Selasa tanggal 15 Januari ini.<\/p>\n

Apa yang akan dilakukan oleh May jika kesepakatan ditolak?<\/p>\n

Konsekwensinya bervariasi mulai dari perceraian yang kacau, pemilihan umum dini, atau bahkan tidak ada Brexit samasekali.<\/p>\n

Salah satu pilihan adalah mendorong untuk \u201cno-deal Brexit\u201d yang akan membuat poundsterling terjungkal. Yang lain adalah mengadakan referendum kedua. Publik telah bergeser ke kubu \u201cRemain\u201d namun segala sesuatu bisa terjadi, dan ketidak pastianlah yang berkuasa. Menunda Brexit juga pilihan lainya sekalipun pemerintah telah menyangkalnya. Penundaan Brexit akan menaikkan poundsterling.<\/p>\n

Pemimpin oposisi dari partai Buruh Jeremy Corbyn mengatakan bahwa dia akan berusaha agar keluar hasil pemungutan suara dengan \u201cno-confidence\u201d bagi pemerintah May setelah dia kehilangan pemungutan suara untuk \u201cBrexit deal\u201d di parlemen. Hal ini akan melemparkan Inggris ke ronde yang baru dari tidakpastian politik pada fase final dari Brexit. Sementara Theresa May bisa juga meminta untuk diadakan pemilihan umum dini atau menunda tanggal Brexit.<\/p>\n

Skenario Brexit dan pengaruhnya terhadap GBP\/USD:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. \u201cBrexit deal\u201d ditolak dengan \u201cno-confidence vote\u201d pengaruhnya: Sterling: negatif.<\/li>\n
  2. Menunda tanggal Brexit pengaruhnya: Sterling netral sampai positip<\/li>\n
  3. \u201cNo-deal Brexit\u201d pengaruhnya: Sterling kuat negatif<\/li>\n
  4. Brexit deal disetujui, pengaruhnya: Sterling positip<\/li>\n
  5. No Brexit pengaruhnya: Sterling kuat positip<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Diatas semuanya, satu hal yang jelas: ketidakpastian akan memicu volatilitas yang tinggi.<\/p>\n

    Ricky Ferlianto\/VBN\/Managing Partner\u00a0 Vibiz Consulting Group<\/p>\n

    Editor: Asido<\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    (Vibiznews-Forex) Kekacauan Brexit terus berlanjut pada hari Senin dengan Perdana Menteri Inggris Theresa May memperingati anggota parlemen untuk mendukung kesepakatan Brexit (Brexit deal) sebagaimana adanya atau menghadapi kekacauan politik dengan hanya tinggal 73 hari tersisa sebelum Inggris secara resmi keluar dari Uni Eropa pada tanggal 29 Maret. Diatas semua ini, penguat dari partai konsevatif Inggris […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101021,"featured_media":214475,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[91],"tags":[589,6655,6695,417,555,6705,6885,6895,6887,6691,6787,735,4231,6899,2719,2885,309,6903,165,6653,3653,345,6901,2121,6693,6889,63,65,167,6893,3015,6883,2399,6785,2357,6659,6891,6793,6789,6897,2469,169,895],"class_list":["post-403087","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forex","tag-amerika","tag-analisis","tag-aud","tag-aussie","tag-australia","tag-berita","tag-cad","tag-canada","tag-chf","tag-currency","tag-dagang","tag-dolar","tag-ekonomi","tag-england","tag-eropa","tag-eur","tag-euro","tag-europe","tag-forex-2","tag-fundamental","tag-gbp","tag-inggris","tag-japan","tag-jepang","tag-jpy","tag-kanada","tag-komoditas","tag-komoditi","tag-matauang","tag-new-zealand","tag-news","tag-nzd","tag-outlook","tag-perang","tag-poundsterling","tag-prediksi","tag-selandia-baru","tag-swiss-franc","tag-tarif","tag-usa","tag-usd","tag-valas","tag-yen"],"yoast_head":"\nPreview Pemungutan Suara Brexit & Pengaruhnya Terhadap GBP\/USD - Vibiznews.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2019\/01\/15\/preview-pemungutan-suara-brexit-pengaruhnya-terhadap-gbpusd\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Preview Pemungutan Suara Brexit & Pengaruhnya Terhadap GBP\/USD - Vibiznews.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(Vibiznews-Forex) Kekacauan Brexit terus berlanjut pada hari Senin dengan Perdana Menteri Inggris Theresa May memperingati anggota parlemen untuk mendukung kesepakatan Brexit (Brexit deal) sebagaimana adanya atau menghadapi kekacauan politik dengan hanya tinggal 73 hari tersisa sebelum Inggris secara resmi keluar dari Uni Eropa pada tanggal 29 Maret. 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