{"id":474651,"date":"2021-03-08T07:45:42","date_gmt":"2021-03-08T00:45:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vibiznews.com\/?p=474651"},"modified":"2021-03-08T08:49:03","modified_gmt":"2021-03-08T01:49:03","slug":"rekomandasi-mingguan-eur-usd-8-12-maret-2021-cenderung-turun","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2021\/03\/08\/rekomandasi-mingguan-eur-usd-8-12-maret-2021-cenderung-turun\/","title":{"rendered":"Rekomandasi Mingguan EUR\/USD 8 \u2013 12 Maret 2021: Cenderung Turun?"},"content":{"rendered":"

(Vibiznews \u2013 Forex) Pasangan matauang EUR\/USD sempat jatuh ke level terendah yang baru di 2021 di 1.1892, oleh karena membumbungnya dollar AS secara luas setelah komentar dari kepala Federal Reserve AS Jerome Powell, namun akhirnya terkoreksi normal beberapa pips diatas level tersebut, di 1.1911.<\/p>\n

Data ekonomi AS minggu lalu dimulai dengan keluarnya PMI manufaktur dari ISM yang bagus. Namun, angka pekerjaan dari ADP dan PMI jasa dari ISM meleset dari perkiraan sehingga menyebabkan keprihatinan akan employment.<\/p>\n

NonFarm Payrolls bulan Februari menunjukkan kenaikan sebanyak 379.000, dua kali lipat lebih tinggi daripada yang diperkirakan dan diatas dari revisi naik. Dolar bereaksi dengan memperpanjang keuntungan.<\/p>\n

Stimulus fiskal AS disetujui bersama dengan membatasi cek stimulus senilai $1,400. Pasar telah memperhitungkan dalam harga, kompromi semacam diatas dan menaikkan peluang undang \u2013 undang stimulus akan bisa dikeluarkan, menambah prospek pertumbuhan. Hal ini juga mendorong naik yields<\/em> dan dollar AS.<\/p>\n

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\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0Silahkan klik jika ingin join Telegram Vibiznews<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Amerika Serikat mulai menyuntik warganya dengan vaksin dari Johnson & Johnson, senjata yang ketiga yang diturunkan untuk melawan Covid \u2013 19. Sementara imunisasi di AS berjalan dengan cepat, kasus baru telah berhenti dari penurunan yang tajam.<\/p>\n

Di Eropa, angka makro ekonomi mengkuatirkan, dengan lockdown dalam rangka preventif terus berlanjut di Uni Eropa, dengan beberapa negara memperpanjangnya sampai bulan April. Ada dua angka makro ekonomi yang memberikan tanda alarm. Penjualan Ritel bulan Januari di Jerman dan Uni Eropa melemah, sementara output jasa tetap berada di teritori kontraksi pada bulan Februari, menurut Markit. Kemajuan imunisasi terhadap Covid yang lambat di Uni Eropa menambah perspektif yang suram. Menurut perkiraan awal, inflasi untuk bulan Februari di Jerman meningkat, namun di area euro tetap rendah.<\/p>\n

Minggu ini, keputusan mengenai kebijakan moneter dari ECB akan menjadi event yang paling relevan. ECB kemungkinan akan tetap mempertahankan tingkat suku bunga tidak berubah, namun bisa menambah kecepatan di dalam pembelian assets untuk menekan naiknya yields<\/em> obligasi yang bisa memukul prospek pertumbuhan.<\/p>\n

Uni Eropa juga akan mempublikasikan revisi dari GDP kuartal ke empat dan Sentix Investor Confidence bulan Maret, sementara Jerman akan merilis Industrial Production bulan Januari dan angka inflasi final bulan Februari.<\/p>\n

Di Amerika Serikat, stimulus terdorong untuk segera dikeluarkan karena ada tenggat waktu dimana beberapa program pemerintah yang ada sekarang akan segera jatuh tempo. House of Rep dari Demokrat telah meloloskan stimulus senilai $1.9 triliun yang awal, apakah Senat akan menyetujui sejumlah nilai yang sama?<\/p>\n

Investor telah memperhitungkan dalam harga senilai antara $1 triliun sampai $1.5 triliun. Jadi apabila nilainya hanya beberapa ratus miliar dollar AS, akan mengecewakan, sementara apabila mendekati nilai awal akan menggembirakan pasar.<\/p>\n

Setelah hambatan di dalam vaksinasi yang disebabkan oleh karena terjadinya badai musim dingin, lebih dari dua juta orang Amerika menerima vaksin setiap harinya. Apabila bisa lebih cepat, maka akan menggembirakan pasar.<\/p>\n

Apakah harga konsumen naik? Inflasi tetap rendah pada bulan Januari, namun harga produsen mengalami kenaikan. Para ekonom memperkirakan CPI umum akan naik ke 1.6% di bulan Februari, namun untuk CPI inti tertekan di 1.4%. Setiap ada tanda-tanda kenaikan harga, akan bisa mendorong naik dollar AS.<\/p>\n

Klaim pengangguran mingguan pada hari Kamis menarik perhatian setelah keluarnya Nonfarm Payrolls, namun minggu belakangan ini, investor sudah kurang sensitif terhadap kegelisahan karena meningkatnya angka pengangguran.<\/p>\n

Consumer Sentiment Index pendahuluan untuk bulan Maret dari Universitas Michigan diperkirakan akan tetap dibawah 80, meskipun ada stimulus dan vaksinasi.<\/p>\n

Secara keseluruhan EUR\/USD cenderung turun, baik secara grafik tehnikal mingguan maupun harian.<\/p>\n

\u201cSupport\u201d terdekat menunggu di 1.1885 yang apabila berhasil dilewati akan lanjut ke 1.1800 dan kemudian 1.1745.\u00a0 \u201cResistance\u201d terdekat menunggu di 1.1970 yang apabila berhasil dilewati akan lanjut ke 1.2060 dan kemudian 1.2101.<\/p>\n

Ricky Ferlianto\/VBN\/Managing Partner\u00a0 Vibiz Consulting<\/p>\n

Editor: Asido<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(Vibiznews \u2013 Forex) Pasangan matauang EUR\/USD sempat jatuh ke level terendah yang baru di 2021 di 1.1892, oleh karena membumbungnya dollar AS secara luas setelah komentar dari kepala Federal Reserve AS Jerome Powell, namun akhirnya terkoreksi normal beberapa pips diatas level tersebut, di 1.1911. Data ekonomi AS minggu lalu dimulai dengan keluarnya PMI manufaktur dari […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101021,"featured_media":305929,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[91,21],"tags":[589,6655,6695,417,555,9453,6885,6895,6887,6691,6787,735,4231,6899,2719,2885,309,6903,165,6653,3653,345,6901,2121,6693,6889,63,65,167,6893,3015,6883,2399,6785,2357,6659,6891,6793,6789,6897,2469,169,895],"class_list":["post-474651","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forex","category-recommendation","tag-amerika","tag-analisis","tag-aud","tag-aussie","tag-australia","tag-berita-2","tag-cad","tag-canada","tag-chf","tag-currency","tag-dagang","tag-dolar","tag-ekonomi","tag-england","tag-eropa","tag-eur","tag-euro","tag-europe","tag-forex-2","tag-fundamental","tag-gbp","tag-inggris","tag-japan","tag-jepang","tag-jpy","tag-kanada","tag-komoditas","tag-komoditi","tag-matauang","tag-new-zealand","tag-news","tag-nzd","tag-outlook","tag-perang","tag-poundsterling","tag-prediksi","tag-selandia-baru","tag-swiss-franc","tag-tarif","tag-usa","tag-usd","tag-valas","tag-yen"],"yoast_head":"\nRekomandasi Mingguan EUR\/USD 8 \u2013 12 Maret 2021: Cenderung Turun? - Vibiznews.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2021\/03\/08\/rekomandasi-mingguan-eur-usd-8-12-maret-2021-cenderung-turun\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Rekomandasi Mingguan EUR\/USD 8 \u2013 12 Maret 2021: Cenderung Turun? - Vibiznews.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(Vibiznews \u2013 Forex) Pasangan matauang EUR\/USD sempat jatuh ke level terendah yang baru di 2021 di 1.1892, oleh karena membumbungnya dollar AS secara luas setelah komentar dari kepala Federal Reserve AS Jerome Powell, namun akhirnya terkoreksi normal beberapa pips diatas level tersebut, di 1.1911. 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