{"id":497407,"date":"2021-08-30T07:12:20","date_gmt":"2021-08-30T00:12:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vibiznews.com\/?p=497407"},"modified":"2021-08-30T07:12:20","modified_gmt":"2021-08-30T00:12:20","slug":"weekly-market-review-soft-commodities-coffee-sugar-and-cocoa-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2021\/08\/30\/weekly-market-review-soft-commodities-coffee-sugar-and-cocoa-4\/","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Review Soft Commodities Coffee, Sugar and Cocoa"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>(Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) \u2013 Pada penutupan pasar hari Jumat 27 Agustus 2021 harga soft commodities mixed, dengan harga kopi Arabika naik ke harga tertinggi 4 minggu dan harga kopi Robusta naik ke harga tertinggi 3 \u00be minggu, Harga gula di New York naik ke tertinggi 1 minggu dan harga kakao turun karena hujan turun di Ivory Coast dan Ghana.<\/p>\n<p>Harga kopi naik pada penutupan pasar hari Jumat dengan harga kopi Arabika naik ke harga tertinggi 4 minggu dan harga kopi Robusta naik ke harga tertinggi 3 \u00be minggu. Harga kopi Arabika naik karena kekhawatiran hasil panen kopi turun dan harga kopi Robusta naik karena persediaan kurang di Vietnam.<\/p>\n<p>Harga gula pada penutupan pasar hari Jumat naik ke harga tertinggi 1 minggu dan naik setelah ISO menurunka perkiraan defisit gula di 2021\/22 menjadi 3.83 MMT dari perkiraan Mei 2.65MT setelah pembekuan pada bulan lalu merusak tanaman tebu di Brazil.<\/p>\n<p>Harga kakao pada penutupan pasar hari Jumat turun karena hujan turun di Afrika Barat membuat hasil panen di Ivory Coast dan Ghana dimana pada bulan Oktober mulai musim panen.<\/p>\n<p>Adapun penggerak pasar pada minggu ini adalah sebagai berikut :<\/p>\n<p><strong>KOPI<\/strong><br \/>\nHarga kopi Arabika di ICE New York Desember naik $4.20 (2.23%) menjadi $192.20 dan harga kopi Robusta Nopember naik 1.20%.<\/p>\n<p>Faktor penggerak pasar Kopi:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Produksi kopi dunia di 2020\/21 ( Oktober \u2013 September) naik 0.4% dari tahun lalu menjadi 169.604 juta kantong menurut ICO.<\/li>\n<li>Konsumsi kopi global di 2020\/21 naik 1.9% dari tahun lalu menjadi 167.584 juta kantong menurut ICO.<\/li>\n<li>Pasar kopi dunia di 2020\/21 akan menjadi surplus 2.019 juta kantong dari surplus 4.506 juta kantong di 2019\/20.<\/li>\n<li>Produksi kopi Arabika Brazil di 2021 diperkirakan akan turun 23% dari tahun lalu ke jumlah terendah 4 tahun menjadi 48.8 juta kantong menurut CONAB.<\/li>\n<li>Ekspor kopi Brazil di 2021\/22 diperkirakan akan naik 13.3% dari tahun lalu menjadi 45.6 juta kantong menurut Cecafe<\/li>\n<li>Produksi kopi Robusta di Brazil di 2021 diperkirakan akan naik 16% dari tahun lalu menjadi 16.6 juta kantong.<\/li>\n<li>Ekspor kopi Colombia pada bulan Juli naik 9% dari tahun lalu menjadi 1.229 juta kantong menurut The Colombia Coffee Growers Federation<\/li>\n<li>Ekspor kopi global dari Oktober \u2013 Juni naik 2.5% dari tahun lalu menjadi 98.545 juta kantong menurut ICO.<\/li>\n<li>Ekspor kopi Robusta global di Oktober \u2013 Juni turun 4.8% dari tahun lalu menjadi 35.234 juta kantong menurut ICO.<\/li>\n<li>Ekspor kopi Robusta Vietnam di Januari \u2013 Juli 2021 turun 8.1% dari tahun lalu menjadi 965,883 MT menurut Vietnam\u2019s General Statistics Office .<\/li>\n<li>Persediaan kopi hijau di AS naik 5.1% dari bulan lalu menjadi 9 bulan tertinggi menjadi 6.074 juta kantong tapi masih turun 13.9% dari tahun lalu.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Analisa tehnikal untuk kopi Arabika dengan support pertama di $ 182 dan berikut ke $176 sedangkan resistant pertama di $ 203 dan berikut ke $212 .<\/p>\n<p><strong>GULA<\/strong><br \/>\nHarga gula Oktober di ICE New York naik 36 sen (1.83%) menjadi $20.04 dan harga gula Oktober di ICE London naik 2.14%.<\/p>\n<p>Faktor Penggerak Pasar Gula:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Produksi gula dunia di 2021\/22 ( Oktober\/ September) akan naik 0.18% dari tahun lalu menjadi 170.638 MMT dari 170.335 MMT di 2020\/21 menurut ISO.<\/li>\n<li>Pasar gula dunia di 2021\/22 akan defisit 3.829 MMT dari defisit 1.453 MMT di 2020\/21 menurut ISO.<\/li>\n<li>Produksi gula Brazil, negara produsen gula terbesar di dunia di tahun 2021\/22 akan turun 10.5% dari tahun lalu 36.9MMT sedangkan perkiraan produksi 2020\/21 diperkirakan akan menjadi 41.3 MMT di 2020\/21 menurut CONAB.<\/li>\n<li>Persentase tebu yang dijadikan gula naik 46.4% di 2020\/21 dari 34.9% di 2019\/20 karena turunnya permintaan etanol menurut CONAB.<\/li>\n<li>Perkiraan produksi gula India di 2021\/22 sebesar 31 MMT naik dari perkiraan di 2020\/21 sebesar 30.9 MMT menurut Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA)<\/li>\n<li>Perkiraan ekspor gula India di 2020\/21 mencapai rekor 6.8 MMT menurut Balrampur Chini, produsen gula terbesar ke dua di India.<\/li>\n<li>Perkiraan produksi gula Uni Eropa di 2021\/22 akan turun 4% menjadi 14.5MMT menurut Suedezucker produsen gula terbesar di Uni Eropa<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Analisa tehnikal untuk gula dengan support pertama di $19.30 dan berikut ke $ 18.90 sedangkan resistant pertama di $ 20.10 dan berikut ke $20.40<\/p>\n<p><strong>KAKAO<\/strong><br \/>\nHarga kakao Desember di ICE New York turun $41 (1.56%) menjadi $2,582 per ton dan harga kakao Desember di ICE London turun 0.89%.<\/p>\n<p>Faktor penggerak pasar kakao :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Perkiraan produksi kakao dunia di 2020\/21 (Oktober \u2013 September) akan naik 6.3% dari tahun lalu menjadi 5.024 MMT menurut ICCO<\/li>\n<li>Perkiraan produksi kakao yang digiling akan naik 3% dari tahun lalu menjadi 4. 809 MMT menurut ICCO<\/li>\n<li>Perkiraan pasar Kakao global di 2020\/21 akan surplus 165,000 dari surplus 10,000 MT di 2019\/20 menurut ICCO.<\/li>\n<li>Pemerintah Ivory Coast melaporkan bahwa kumulatif kakao yang dikirim petani ke pelabuhan dari 1 Oktober sampai 22 Agustus naik 6.6% dari tahun lalu menjadi 2.41 MMT.<\/li>\n<li>The Ghana Cocoa Board membeli 1.03 MMT kakao dari petani pada 1 Oktober sampai 19 Agustus, masih tinggal 6 minggu lagi berakhirnya tahun marketing 2020\/21.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Analisa tehnikal untuk kakao dengan support pertama di $2,540 dan berikut ke $2,500 sedangkan resistant pertama di $2, 650 dan berikut ke $2,710.<\/p>\n<p>Loni T \/ Senior Analyst Vibiz Research Centre Division, Vibiz Consulting<br \/>\nEditor : Asido<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) \u2013 Pada penutupan pasar hari Jumat 27 Agustus 2021 harga soft commodities mixed, dengan harga kopi Arabika naik ke harga tertinggi 4 minggu dan harga kopi Robusta naik ke harga tertinggi 3 \u00be minggu, Harga gula di New York naik ke tertinggi 1 minggu dan harga kakao turun karena hujan turun di [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101019,"featured_media":474623,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[669,7,2947,225],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-497407","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-column","category-commodity","category-market","category-weekly-review"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Weekly Market Review Soft Commodities Coffee, Sugar and Cocoa - Vibiznews.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, 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