{"id":533202,"date":"2022-09-19T07:29:19","date_gmt":"2022-09-19T00:29:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vibiznews.com\/?p=533202"},"modified":"2022-09-19T12:43:13","modified_gmt":"2022-09-19T05:43:13","slug":"review-minggu-ii-september-gula-kopi-kakao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2022\/09\/19\/review-minggu-ii-september-gula-kopi-kakao\/","title":{"rendered":"Review Minggu II September, Gula-Kopi-Kakao"},"content":{"rendered":"

(Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) \u2013 Review Pasar\u00a0 Minggu ke II \u00a0September 2022\u00a0 Harga\u00a0\u00a0 kopi, gula, kakao beragam.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Selama minggu ini indeks dolar AS naik 0,6%, dan naik sekitar 15% untuk tahun ini menambah kekhawatiran harga komoditas turun pada minggu ini.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.vibiznews.com\/2022\/09\/17\/indeks-dolar-as-turun-tipis-akhir-pekan-secara-mingguan-masih-naik\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Harga minyak mentah WTI telah jatuh hampir 17% dari ketinggian di bulan Agustus dan pada minggu lalu harga minyak mentah WTI kembali mengalami penurunan untuk tiga minggu berturut-turut. Harga minyak mentah WTI mengakhiri\u00a0 minggu lalu dengan sedikit penurunan ke $84.75. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pergerakan harga minyak mentah mempengaruhi harga gula pada minggu ini<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.vibiznews.com\/2022\/09\/18\/rekomendasi-minyak-mingguan-19-23-september-2022-masihkah-tertekan-turun\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Pada minggu depan pasar menantikan berita the Feds diperkirakan akan menaikkan suku bunga 75 bp hari Kamis dinihari. Demikian juga ada keputusan suku bunga BOJ dan BOE hari Kamis<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Sangat berpengaruh pada indeks dolar AS dan mata uang lainnya berefek pada harga komoditas.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.vibiznews.com\/2022\/09\/17\/minggu-keputusan-suku-bunga-global-seberapa-besar-global-market-outlook-19-23-september-2022\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Harga kopi turun<\/span><\/b> pada penutupan pasar hari Jumat 16 September 2022. Harga kopi Arabika turun ke terendah 3 \u00bd minggu dan harga kopi Robusta turun ke terendah 5 minggu. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Persediaan kopi hijau melimpah di AS. The Green Coffee Association hari Kamis melaporkan persediaan kopi hijau naik 3.6% dari bulan lalu dan naik 5.2% dari tahun lalu ke tertinggi 2 tahun menjadi 6,450,086 juta kantong.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga gula<\/span><\/b> turun <\/span><\/b>pada penutupan pasar hari Jumat 16 September 2022. Harga gula di New York turun ke terendah 1 minggu. Harga gula di London turun ke terendah 2 minggu. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Melemahnya Real Brazil ke terendah 6 minggu terhadap dolar. Harga gula Brazil murah bagi pembeli di luar real sehingga ekspor meningkat.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga kakao mixed<\/span><\/b> pada penutupan pasar hari Jumat 16 Desember 2022. Harga kakao di London turun ke terendah 1 \u00bd minggu. Harga kakao naik melemahnya kurs GBPUSD ke terendah 37 tahun terhadap dolar.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Adapun penggerak pasar pada minggu ini adalah sebagai berikut :<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong>
\nKOPI\u00a0<\/strong><\/h5>\n

Harga kopi Arabika Desember di ICE New York turun 1.30 sen (0.60%) menjadi $215.10. Harga kopi Robusta Nopember di ICE London turun 1.08%.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga kopi pada seminggu ini\u00a0 turun 6.23%.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Faktor Penggerak Harga Kopi :\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0<\/span><\/h6>\n
    \n
  • Produksi kopi\u00a0 global\u00a0\u00a0 2022\/23 di perkirakan turun menjadi 169 MMT dari perkiraan sebelumnya 172.3 MMT menurut Rabo Bank<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Pasar kopi global di 2022\/23 diperkirakan akan menjadi\u00a0 defisit 1.3 juta kantong dari\u00a0 perkiraan sebelumnya 1.7 juta kantong menurut Rabo Bank.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Laporan\u00a0 ICO\u00a0\u00a0 total ekspor kopi global\u00a0 Oktober \u2013 Juli 2022 turun 0.3% dari tahun lalu menjadi 108.8\u00a0 juta\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 kantong.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Colombia National Federation of Coffee Growers melaporkan\u00a0\u00a0 produksi\u00a0 kopi Colombia Januari –\u00a0 Agustus turun 7% dari\u00a0 tahun lalu menjadi 7.3 juta kantong<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Ekspor kopi Robusta Vietnam dari Januari sampai Agustus 2022 naik\u00a0 15.3% dari tahun lalu menjadi\u00a0 1.25 MMT\u00a0 menurut Vietnam\u2019s General Statistics Office\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Produksi kopi Robusta Vietnam di 2021\/22 diperkirakan naik menjadi 31.58 juta kantong dari 31.1 juta kantong. Perkiraan Produksi\u00a0\u00a0 di 2022\/23\u00a0\u00a0 akan turun 2.2% dari tahun lalu menjadi 30.9 juta kantong menurut USDA.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
  • The Green Coffee Association hari Kamis melaporkan persediaan kopi hijau Agustus naik 3.6% dari bulan lalu dan naik 5.2% dari tahun lalu ke tertinggi 2 tahun menjadi 6,450,086 kantong.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Analisa tehnikal untuk kopi Arabika dengan support pertama di $213, berikut ke $205\u00a0 . Resistant pertama di $ 221 dan berikut ke $\u00a0 231<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    GULA\u00a0<\/strong><\/h5>\n

    Harga gula Oktober di ICE New York turun 30 sen (1.65%) menjadi $17.88. Harga gula Desember di ICE London turun 2.80%.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    Harga gula pada minggu ini turun 1.49%.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    Faktor Penggerak Pasar Gula:\u00a0<\/strong><\/h6>\n
      \n
    • Conab\u00a0 melaporkan penurunan perkiraan hasil gula Brazil 2022\/23 menjadi 33.9 MMT dari perkiraan April\u00a0 40.3 MMT. Turunnya area tanam\u00a0 dan hasil dari\u00a0 tebu lebih sedikit.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
    • Perkiraan Export Brazil di 2022\/23\u00a0 naik 3.7% dari tahun lalu menjadi 26.6 MMT menurut USDA FAS<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
    • Produksi gula India di 2021\/22\u00a0 diperkirakan\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 naik 12.2% dari tahun lalu menjadi 35 MMT dari 33.3 MMT\u00a0\u00a0 menurut Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA)<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
    • \u00a0Ekspor gula India di 2021\/22 akan mencapai rekor 9 MMT\u00a0 menurut Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA)<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
    • Ekspor gula Thailand diperkirakan sebesar 7 MMT di 2021\/22 menurut the Thailand Office of Cane and Sugar Board<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Analisa tehnikal untuk gula dengan support pertama di $\u00a0\u00a0 17.60 dan berikut ke\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>$17.10 Resistant pertama di $\u00a0 18.30 dan berikut ke $18.60<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

      KAKAO <\/strong>\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n

      Harga kakao Desember di ICE New York turun $17 (0.72%) menjadi $2,360 per ton. Harga kakao Desember di ICE London naik 0.59%.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

      \u00a0<\/span>Harga kakao mingguan tidak berubah. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

      Faktor penggerak pasar kakao :\u00a0<\/strong><\/h6>\n
        \n
      • Perkiraan produksi kakao dunia di 2021\/22\u00a0\u00a0 akan\u00a0 turun\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 menjadi 4.890 MMT dari perkiraan 4.923\u00a0 MMT\u00a0 menurut ICCO\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
      • Perkiraan pasar Kakao global di 2021\/22 akan\u00a0 defisit -230,000 MT dari\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 perkiraan Juni defisit -174,000 MT menurut ICCO.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
      • Pemerintah Ivory Coast melaporkan bahwa akumulasi persediaan kakao\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 yang dikirim ke pelabuhan sebesar 2.44 MMT pada tanggal\u00a0 1 Oktober \u2013 11 September tidak berubah dari\u00a0 tahun lalu.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
      • The Ghana Cocoa Board\u00a0 memperkirakan panen kakao Ghana di 2021\/22 turun 35% dari tahun lalu menjadi 685,000 MT terendah 12 tahun.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
      • Perkiraan produksi Ghana di 2022\/23 naik 31% dari tahun lalu menjadi 850,000 MT menurut The Ghana Cocoa Board<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

        Analisa tehnikal untuk kakao dengan support pertama di $ 2,300 dan berikut ke $2,250\u00a0\u00a0 sedangkan resistant pertama di $2,400\u00a0 dan berikut ke $2,450<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

        Loni T \/ Senior Analyst Vibiz Research Centre Division, Vibiz Consulting<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        (Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) \u2013 Review Pasar\u00a0 Minggu ke II \u00a0September 2022\u00a0 Harga\u00a0\u00a0 kopi, gula, kakao beragam.\u00a0 Selama minggu ini indeks dolar AS naik 0,6%, dan naik sekitar 15% untuk tahun ini menambah kekhawatiran harga komoditas turun pada minggu ini.\u00a0 https:\/\/www.vibiznews.com\/2022\/09\/17\/indeks-dolar-as-turun-tipis-akhir-pekan-secara-mingguan-masih-naik\/ Harga minyak mentah WTI telah jatuh hampir 17% dari ketinggian di bulan Agustus dan pada […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101019,"featured_media":533228,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"video","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[669,7,2947,89,225],"tags":[4091,1113,6601,3437,3443,10091,7907,7841,3445,9407,8915,7803,9435,2505,9635,7553,3441,3119,8271,8463,3449,2513,6685,9423,2469,4247],"class_list":["post-533202","post","type-post","status-publish","format-video","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-column","category-commodity","category-market","category-media-center","category-weekly-review","tag-boe","tag-boj","tag-brazil","tag-cocoa","tag-coffee","tag-colombia","tag-conab","tag-ghana","tag-gula","tag-icco","tag-ice-london","tag-ice-new-york","tag-ico","tag-india","tag-iso","tag-ivory-coast","tag-kakao","tag-kopi","tag-nigeria","tag-real-brazil","tag-sugar","tag-thailand","tag-the-feds","tag-unica","tag-usd","tag-vietnam","post_format-post-format-video"],"yoast_head":"\nReview Minggu II September, Gula-Kopi-Kakao - 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