{"id":533616,"date":"2022-09-26T07:22:05","date_gmt":"2022-09-26T00:22:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vibiznews.com\/?p=533616"},"modified":"2022-09-26T08:44:27","modified_gmt":"2022-09-26T01:44:27","slug":"review-minggu-ke-3-september-kopi-gula-kakao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2022\/09\/26\/review-minggu-ke-3-september-kopi-gula-kakao\/","title":{"rendered":"Review Minggu ke 3 September – Kopi – Gula – Kakao"},"content":{"rendered":"

(Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) \u2013 Review Pasar\u00a0 Minggu ke III\u00a0 September 2022\u00a0 Harga\u00a0\u00a0 kopi, gula, kakao semua turun<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pasar komoditas sangat dipengaruhi dengan pergerakan pasar global dan pergerakan pasar global pada minggu lalu:\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The FedsT menaikkan suku bunganya secara agresif dan mengindikasikan akan melanjutkannya untuk memerangi inflasi tinggi AS.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Dollar melaju ke 20 tahun lebih tertingginya, sementara pound sterling tergelincir ke level 37 tahun terendahnya oleh ancaman resesi.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.vibiznews.com\/2022\/09\/24\/suku-bunga-akan-terus-naik-resesi-global-datang-global-market-outlook-26-30-september-2022-by-alfred-pakasi\/<\/a><\/p>\n

Harga minyak anjlok ke level terendah delapan bulan pada hari Jumat karena dolar AS mencapai level terkuatnya dalam lebih dari dua dekade dan di tengah kekhawatiran kenaikan suku bunga akan mendorong ekonomi utama ke dalam resesi.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Minyak mentah berjangka West Texas Intermediate (WTI) AS turun $5,34, atau 6,4%, menjadi $78,17.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>Pergerakan harga minyak mentah mempengaruhi harga gula pada minggu ini<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.vibiznews.com\/2022\/09\/23\/harga-minyak-anjlok-terendah-8-bulan\/<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span>Harga kopi turun<\/span><\/b> pada penutupan pasar hari Jumat 23 September . Indeks dolar AS menguat ke tertinggi 20 tahun membuat harga komoditas turun, termasuk kopi.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Laporan dari Cooxupe Cooperative bahwa panen Brazil sudah selesai 99.4% sampai 16 September. Pada saat panen maka petani meningkatkan penjualan kopi di gudang supaya ada tempat untuk mengisi gudang dengan kopi yang baru dipanen.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga gula turun <\/span><\/b>pada penutupan pasar hari Jumat 23 September 2022. Harga gula turun karena turunnya harga minyak mentah 5% ke terendah 8 bulan.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga etanol menjadi turun sehingga pabrik tebu lebih banyak membuat gula dari etanol persediaan gula meningkat.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga kakao turun<\/strong> pada penutupan pasar hari Jumat 23 September 2022 . Harga kakao turun di New York ke harga 2 \u00bd bulan terendah. Harga gula di London turun ke harga terendah 1 minggu.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/h6>\n

Menguatnya indeks dolar AS ke tertinggi 20 tahun membuat harga kakao turun termasuk kakao. Namun di London penurunan terbatas karena melemahnya GBPUSD ke terendah 37 tahun terhadap dolar.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0https:\/\/www.vibiznews.com\/2022\/09\/24\/rekomendasi-gbp-usd-24-september-2022-turun-ke-kerendahan-beberapa-dekade\/<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

Adapun penggerak pasar pada minggu ini adalah sebagai berikut :<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

KOPI<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n

Harga kopi Arabika Desember di ICE New York turun $3.10 (1.39%) menjadi $220.45 . Harga kopi Robusta Nopember di ICE London turun 0.27%.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga kopi pada seminggu ini\u00a0 naik 2.48%.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Faktor Penggerak Harga Kopi :\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/h6>\n
    \n
  • Produksi kopi\u00a0 global\u00a0\u00a0 2022\/23 di perkirakan turun menjadi 169 MMT dari perkiraan sebelumnya 172.3 MMT menurut Rabo Bank<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Pasar kopi global di 2022\/23 diperkirakan akan menjadi\u00a0 defisit 1.3 juta kantong dari\u00a0 perkiraan sebelumnya 1.7 juta kantong menurut Rabo Bank.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Laporan\u00a0 ICO\u00a0\u00a0 total ekspor kopi global\u00a0 Oktober \u2013 Juli 2022 turun 0.3% dari tahun lalu menjadi 108.8\u00a0 juta\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 kantong.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Perkiraan produksi kopi\u00a0 Brazil di 2022 diturunkan menjadi 50.4 juta kantong dari perkiraan Mei 53.4 juta kantong karena cuaca membaik menaikkan hasil kopi, menurut Conab.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Colombia National Federation of Coffee Growers melaporkan\u00a0\u00a0 produksi\u00a0 kopi Colombia Januari –\u00a0 Agustus turun 7% dari\u00a0 tahun lalu menjadi 7.3 juta kantong<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Ekspor kopi Robusta Vietnam dari Januari sampai Agustus 2022 naik\u00a0 15.3% dari tahun lalu menjadi\u00a0 1.25 MMT\u00a0 menurut Vietnam\u2019s General Statistics Office\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
  • Produksi kopi Robusta Vietnam di 2021\/22 diperkirakan naik menjadi 31.58 juta kantong dari 31.1 juta kantong. Perkiraan Produksi\u00a0\u00a0 di 2022\/23\u00a0\u00a0 akan turun 2.2% dari tahun lalu menjadi 30.9 juta kantong menurut USDA.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
  • The Green Coffee Association\u00a0\u00a0 melaporkan persediaan kopi hijau Agustus naik 3.6% dari bulan lalu dan naik 5.2% dari tahun lalu ke tertinggi\u00a0 2 tahun menjadi 6,450,086\u00a0 kantong<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Analisa tehnikal untuk kopi Arabika dengan support pertama di $216, berikut ke $210\u00a0\u00a0 . Resistant pertama di $ 226 dan berikut ke $\u00a0 234<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    \u00a0<\/span>GULA<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    Harga gula Oktober di ICE New York turun 21 sen (1.14%) menjadi $18.28. Harga gula Desember di ICE London turun 0.78%.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    Harga gula pada minggu ini naik 2.24%.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    Faktor Penggerak Pasar Gula:\u00a0<\/strong><\/h6>\n
      \n
    • Perkiraan produksi gula global di 2023\/24 naik 3% dari tahun lalu menjadi 194.4MMT menurut Stone X.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
    • Perkiraan pasar gula global di 2022.24 surplus 3.9 MMT menurut Stone X.<\/span><\/li>\n
    • Produksi gula Brazil di 2023\/24 diperkirakan naik 5.7% dari tahun lalu menjadi 35.2 MMT menurut Stone X.<\/span><\/li>\n
    • Perkiraan Export Brazil di 2022\/23\u00a0 naik 3.7% dari tahun lalu menjadi 26.6 MMT menurut USDA FAS<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
    • Produksi gula India di 2021\/22\u00a0 diperkirakan\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 naik 12.2% dari tahun lalu menjadi 35 MMT dari 33.3 MMT\u00a0\u00a0 menurut Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA)<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
    • \u00a0Ekspor gula India di 2021\/22 akan mencapai rekor 9 MMT\u00a0 menurut Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA)<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
    • Ekspor gula Thailand diperkirakan sebesar 7 MMT di 2021\/22 menurut the Thailand Office of Cane and Sugar Board<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Analisa tehnikal untuk gula dengan support pertama di $\u00a0\u00a0 17.60 dan berikut ke\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>$16.90 Resistant pertama di $\u00a0 18.30 dan berikut ke $18.60<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

      KAKAO<\/span><\/b> \u00a0<\/span><\/h5>\n

      Harga kakao Desember di ICE New York turun $74 (2.19%) menjadi $2,247 per ton. Harga kakao Desember turun 0.21%.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

      Harga kakao mingguan\u00a0 turun 4.79%.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

      Faktor penggerak pasar kakao :\u00a0<\/strong><\/h6>\n
        \n
      • Perkiraan produksi kakao dunia di 2021\/22\u00a0\u00a0 akan\u00a0 turun\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 menjadi 4.890 MMT dari perkiraan 4.923\u00a0 MMT\u00a0 menurut ICCO\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
          \n
        • Perkiraan pasar Kakao global di 2021\/22 akan\u00a0 defisit -230,000 MT dari\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 perkiraan Juni defisit -174,000 MT menurut ICCO.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
        • Pemerintah Ivory Coast melaporkan bahwa akumulasi persediaan kakao\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 yang dikirim ke pelabuhan sebesar 2.45 MMT pada tanggal\u00a0 1 Oktober \u2013 18 September tidak berubah dari\u00a0 tahun lalu.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
        • The Ghana Cocoa Board\u00a0 memperkirakan panen kakao Ghana di 2021\/22 turun 35% dari tahun lalu menjadi 685,000 MT terendah 12 tahun.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n
        • Perkiraan produksi Ghana di 2022\/23 naik 31% dari tahun lalu menjadi 850,000 MT menurut The Ghana Cocoa Board<\/span> .<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

          Analisa tehnikal untuk kakao dengan support pertama di $ 2,185 dan berikut ke $2,112\u00a0\u00a0 sedangkan resistant pertama di $2,379\u00a0 dan berikut ke $2,500.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

          Loni T \/ Senior Analyst Vibiz Research Centre Division, Vibiz Consulting<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

          (Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) \u2013 Review Pasar\u00a0 Minggu ke III\u00a0 September 2022\u00a0 Harga\u00a0\u00a0 kopi, gula, kakao semua turun\u00a0 Pasar komoditas sangat dipengaruhi dengan pergerakan pasar global dan pergerakan pasar global pada minggu lalu:\u00a0\u00a0 The FedsT menaikkan suku bunganya secara agresif dan mengindikasikan akan melanjutkannya untuk memerangi inflasi tinggi AS.\u00a0 Dollar melaju ke 20 tahun lebih tertingginya, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101019,"featured_media":533617,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"video","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[669,7,2947,89,225],"tags":[6601,3437,3443,10091,13637,7525,7841,3445,9407,8915,7803,9435,2505,9635,7553,3441,3119,7245,3947,6531,10641,3449,2513,6685,2469,4247],"class_list":["post-533616","post","type-post","status-publish","format-video","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-column","category-commodity","category-market","category-media-center","category-weekly-review","tag-brazil","tag-cocoa","tag-coffee","tag-colombia","tag-cooxupe-cooperative","tag-etanol","tag-ghana","tag-gula","tag-icco","tag-ice-london","tag-ice-new-york","tag-ico","tag-india","tag-iso","tag-ivory-coast","tag-kakao","tag-kopi","tag-london","tag-minyak-mentah","tag-new-york","tag-stone-x","tag-sugar","tag-thailand","tag-the-feds","tag-usd","tag-vietnam","post_format-post-format-video"],"yoast_head":"\nReview Minggu ke 3 September - 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