{"id":580169,"date":"2025-05-07T17:03:51","date_gmt":"2025-05-07T10:03:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/?p=580169"},"modified":"2025-05-07T17:03:51","modified_gmt":"2025-05-07T10:03:51","slug":"harga-gula-turun-melemahnya-real-brazil-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/07\/harga-gula-turun-melemahnya-real-brazil-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Harga Gula Turun Melemahnya Real Brazil"},"content":{"rendered":"

(Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) \u00a0– \u00a0Harga gula pada penutupan pasar hari Selasa beragam, likuidasi di pasar berjangka New York karena Real Brazil melemah<\/strong> ke \u00a0kurs terendah 2 minggu terhadap dolar. Melemahnya real Brazil membuat harga gula menjadi lebih murah apabila dibeli dengan mata uang lain di \u00a0luar Real.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga gula Juli<\/em> di ICE New York<\/strong> turun 3 sen (0.17%) menjadi $17.39. Harga gula putih Agustus di ICE London naik $4.10 (0.84%)<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada hari Jumat lalu harga gula di New York turun ke harga terendah 3 \u00be tahun dan di London turun \u00a0ke terendah 2 minggu karena meningkatnya produks gula.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada hari Rabu\u00a0\u00a0lalu <\/span>Unica<\/span><\/b> melaporkan\u00a0 produksi gula di\u00a0 Amerika Tengah dan Selatan pada dua minggu pertama bulan April\u00a0 naik 1.3% dari tahun lalu menjadi 731,000 MT. Laporan hari Rabu merupakan laporan pertama untuk musim 2025\/26.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada hari Selasa Conab<\/strong> memperkirakan produksi gula Brazil di 2025\/26 naik 4% dari tahun lalu menjadi 45.875 MMT.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada hari Kamis lalu Bloomberg<\/strong> melaporkan bahwa Louis Dreyfus<\/strong> satu-satunya pedagang yang melakukan pelunasan di ICE\u00a0 New York yang jatuh tempo pada hari Rabu. Pengiriman gula sebesar 1.5 MMT yang dikirim pada pelunasan itu, kontrak berjangka terbesar kelima selama 5 tahun menurut Stone X. Besarnya pengiriman gula menunjukan permintaan gula berkurang.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Faktor yang menurunkan harga gula adalah pada hari Selasa lalu perkiraan <\/span>USDA \u2013 FAS<\/span><\/b> bahwa memperkirakan produksi gula India akan naik 26% dari tahun lalu menjadi 35 MMT, karena hujan di musim monsoon menguntungkan bagi tanaman gula dan meningkatkan hasil gula per are.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada 23 April\u00a0lalu perkiraan <\/span>USDA \u2013 FAS<\/span><\/b> bahwa produksi gula Brazil 2025\/26 naik 2.3% dari tahun lalu menjadi 44.7 MMT dari 43.7 MMT perkiraan sebelumnya.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Curah hujan meningkat di India<\/span><\/b> sehingga menyuburkan tanaman tebu membuat harga gula turun. Pada 15 April, <\/span>India Ministry of Earth Sciences<\/span><\/b> meramalkan hujan turun diatas normal pada musim monsoon tahun ini, dengan total curah hujan diperkirakan 105% diatas rata-rata jangka panjang. Musim monsoon antara bulan Juni sampai September<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga gula turun pada 12 Maret karena perkiraan <\/span>Datagro<\/span><\/b> produksi di tahun 2025\/26 di Brazil Tengah dan Selatan sebesar 42.4 MMT naik 6% dari tahun lalu.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Green Pool Commodity Specialist<\/span><\/b> pada 5 Februari memperkirakan bahwa pasar gula global beralih ke surplus 2.7 MMT di 2025\/26 dari perkiraan defisit 3.7 MMT di 2024\/25<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada 20 Januari lalu <\/span>pemerintah India <\/span><\/b>hanya mengijinkan pabrik gula mengekspor 1 MMT gula untuk musim ini, menggantikan peraturan ekspor gula di tahun 2023. Pembatasan ekspor gula <\/span>India<\/span><\/b> berlaku sejak Oktober 2023 untuk menjaga\u00a0 persediaan gula domestic. India mengijinkan pabrik gula untuk mengekspor 6.1 MMT gula selama 2022\/23 sampai 30 September setelah ekspor gula mencapai rekor 11.1 MMT pada periode sebelumnya.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The India Sugar\u00a0 Mills Association (ISMA)<\/span><\/b> memperkirakan produksi gula India di 2024\/25 turun 17.5% menjadi 26.4 MMT, jumlah terendah 5 tahun<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada 17 April <\/span>Indian Food Secretary Chopra<\/span><\/b> mengatakan bahwa ekspor India di 2024\/25 ekspor India totalnya akan 800,000 MT, dibawah perkiraan 1 MMT.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga gula naik karena pada 17 April <\/span>the Indian Sugar and Bio-energy Manufactures Association <\/span><\/b>melaporkan<\/span> produksi gula India dari 1 Oktober \u2013 15 April 25.5 MMT turun 18 % dari tahun lalu. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Tanda bahwa produksi gula turun membuat harga gula naik setelah pada 14 April <\/span>Unica<\/span><\/b> melaporkan\u00a0 hasil gula kumulatif pada tahun 2024\/25 sampai bulan Maret di\u00a0 Amerika Tengah dan Selatan\u00a0\u00a0 turun 5.3% dari tahun\u00a0 lalu menjadi 40.169 MMT.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada\u00a0 12 Maret <\/span>the Indian Sugar and Bio-energy Manufactures Association<\/span><\/b> mengurangi perkiraan produksi gula India di tahun 2024\/25 menjadi 26.4 MMT dari perkiraan Januari 27.27 MMT karena berkurangnya hasil tanaman tebu.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada tanggal 6 Maret <\/span>the International Sugar Organization (ISO)<\/span><\/b> meningkatkan\u00a0 perkiraan defisit gula global 2024\/25 menjadi\u00a0\u00a0 4.88 MMT dibanding perkiraan\u00a0 Nopember sebesar 2.51 MMT.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Memperlihatkan pasar lebih ketat dari\u00a0 surplus gula global di 2023\/24 sebesar 1.31 MMT\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The ISO<\/strong> juga menurunkan produksi gula global 2024\/25 menjadi 175.5 MMT dari perkiraan Nopember sebesar 179.1 MMT<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Analisa tehnikal untuk gula<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/i>\u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n

support pertama di $16.90 dan berikut ke $16.10\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Resistant pertama di $17.60 dan berikut ke $ 18.20<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Loni T \/ Senior Analyst Vibiz Research Centre Division, Vibiz Consulting<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) \u00a0– \u00a0Harga gula pada penutupan pasar hari Selasa beragam, likuidasi di pasar berjangka New York karena Real Brazil melemah ke \u00a0kurs terendah 2 minggu terhadap dolar. Melemahnya real Brazil membuat harga gula menjadi lebih murah apabila dibeli dengan mata uang lain di \u00a0luar Real.\u00a0 Harga gula Juli di ICE New York turun […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101019,"featured_media":477611,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,7003],"tags":[6601,7907,3445,8915,7803,2505,9749,9635,8463,9423,9673],"class_list":["post-580169","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commodity","category-quarterly-review","tag-brazil","tag-conab","tag-gula","tag-ice-london","tag-ice-new-york","tag-india","tag-isma","tag-iso","tag-real-brazil","tag-unica","tag-usda-fas"],"yoast_head":"\nHarga Gula Turun Melemahnya Real Brazil - Vibiznews.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/07\/harga-gula-turun-melemahnya-real-brazil-2\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Harga Gula Turun Melemahnya Real Brazil - Vibiznews.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) \u00a0– \u00a0Harga gula pada penutupan pasar hari Selasa beragam, likuidasi di pasar berjangka New York karena Real Brazil melemah ke \u00a0kurs terendah 2 minggu terhadap dolar. 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