{"id":580481,"date":"2025-05-13T11:09:35","date_gmt":"2025-05-13T04:09:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/?p=580481"},"modified":"2025-05-13T11:09:35","modified_gmt":"2025-05-13T04:09:35","slug":"harga-kedelai-naik-tiga-hari-berturut-turut","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/13\/harga-kedelai-naik-tiga-hari-berturut-turut\/","title":{"rendered":"Harga Kedelai Naik Tiga Hari Berturut-turut"},"content":{"rendered":"

(Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) – Harga kedelai naik untuk hari ke tiga berturut-turut karena perkembangan positif dari hasil negosiasi antara AS \u2013 Cina pada akhir minggu.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga kedelai Juli di CBOT<\/strong> naik 19.5 sen menjadi $10.7125 per bushel<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Kedelai adalah komoditas yang paling terpukul<\/em> dalam perang dagang antara AS \u2013 Cina, karena Cina merupakan negara pengimpor kedelai terbesar dari AS. Namun saat ini Cina\u00a0 sudah mengalihkan pembelian kedelai ke Brazil.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Petani di Brazil\u00a0<\/strong> di dorong untuk memperluas area tanam kedelai sebesar 500,000 ha<\/em> untuk musim tahun 2025\/26 yang dimulai bulan September menurut Agroconsult.<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Progres dari pertemuan antara perwakilan dagang AS dan China di Swiss<\/strong><\/em> menghasilkan kesepakatan untuk menurunkan 115% tarif dari setiap negara dalam 90 hari ini. AS menurunkan tarif menjadi 30% untuk barang impor Cina, sementara Cina menurunkan tarif menjadi 10% untuk barang impor AS<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2025\/05\/12\/kesepakatan-as-tiongkok-turunkan-tarif-jeda-90-hari\/<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Laporan Pertumbuhan Tanaman kedelai dari USDA<\/span><\/b> \u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n
    \n
  • Penanaman kedelai yang sudah selesai 48% sampai hari Minggu.Lebih cepat dari rata-rata 37%, dan lebih cepat dari tahun lalu pada periode yang sama 34%.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
      \n
    • Tanaman yang sudah bertumbuh \u00a017% , lebih cepat 6% dari rata-rata.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      Laporan Pengiriman Ekspor Mingguan <\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n
        \n
      • Kedelai yang dikirim \u00a0minggu ini sampai 8 Mei sebesar 426,077 MT (15.66 mbu) . \u00a0Naik 27.7% dari minggu sebelumnya tapi turun 1.6% dari tahun lalu pada minggu yang sama.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
          \n
        • Pembeli terbesar Mesir<\/strong> 127,062 MT kemudian Indonesia<\/strong> 85,001 MT dan Mexico<\/strong> 65,165 MT.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
            \n
          • Total kedelai yang dikirim 43.89 MMT (1.613 bbu) naik 11% dari tahun lalu pada minggu yang sama<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

            Laporan Bulanan Perkiraan Persediaan dan Permintaan WASDE (World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimate)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n

            Outlook kedelai \u00a0AS<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

            Persediaan<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

              \n
            • Persediaan kedelai sedikit, penggilingan meningkat, namun ekspor turun dan persediaan akhir turun dibanding tahun 2024\/25.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                \n
              • Hasil kedelai diperkirakan turun menjadi 4.34 milyar bushel dengan penurunan hasil dan area tanam juga turun. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                  \n
                • Dengan persediaan awal tinggi karena turunnya impor dan produksi, sehingga persediaan turun 1% dari 2024\/25.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                    \n
                  • Persediaan akhir akhir kedelai AS 295 juta bushel, turun 55 juta dari perkiraan 2024\/25 yang sudah diperbaiki.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                    Produksi<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

                      \n
                    • Total produksi biji-bijian pembuat minyak sebesar 128.5 juta ton naik 0.1 juta , dengan kenaikan dari kacang, biji bunga matahari, biji kapas namun dikurang dengan penurunan dari kedelai.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                        \n
                      • Kedelai yang digiling di AS di 2025\/26 diperkirakan sebesar 2.49 milyar bushel, naik 70 juta ton dari 2024\/25, naiknya ekspor soymeal . <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                          \n
                        • Produksi soymeal naik 2% karena \u00a0naiknya produksi\u00a0makanan ternak.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                            \n
                          • Penggunakan minyak kedelai \u00a0domestik diperkirakan naik untuk 2025\/26 , \u00a0minyak kedelai digunakan sebagai biofuel sehingga pemakaian domestik meningkat menjadi 13.9 milyar pound.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                            Ekspor<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

                              \n
                            • Ekspor soymeal diperkirakan 18.9 juta short ton, penjualan global 20%, diatas rata-rata 5 tahun 19%.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                                \n
                              • Ekspor Minyak kedelai turun karena peningkat dari persediaan minyak sawit, minyak bunga matahari dan minyak nabati lain. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                                  \n
                                • Persediaan minyak kedelai AS naik 6% dari persediaan di 2024\/25<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                                    \n
                                  • Permintaan akan minyak nabati \u00a0meningkat. Persediaan awal yang tinggi dan kenaikan produksi kedelai di Amerika Selatan \u00a0mendorong ekspor. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                                      \n
                                    • Tingginya permintaan global membuat market share dari kedelai AS diperkirakan 26% turun dari 28% dari tahun lalu. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                                        \n
                                      • Perkiraan ekspor kedelai AS sebesar 1.815 milyar bushel turun 35 juta dari perkiraan 2024\/25.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                                        Harga rata-rata kedelai AS & produk turunannya<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

                                          \n
                                        • Harga rata-rata kedelai AS tahun 2025\/26 $10.25 perbushel, naik dibanding $9.95 harga di tahun 2024\/25.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                                            \n
                                          • Harga rata-rata soymeal sebesar $310 per short ton naik $10. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                                              \n
                                            • Harga rata minyak kedelai 46 sen per pound naik 1 sen dari tahun sebelumnya<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                                              Outlook kedelai Global<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

                                                \n
                                              • Produksi Brazil<\/strong> 169 MMT tidak berubah dan produksi Argentina<\/strong> juga tidak berubah 49 MMT<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                                                  \n
                                                • Ekspor kedelai global 2025\/26 naik 4 % menjadi 188.4 juta ton dari 2024\/25. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                                                    \n
                                                  • Ekspor dari negara produsen kedelai Brazil, Argentina , Paraguay dan Uruguay<\/strong> diperkirakan naik 8.5 juta ton .<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                                                      \n
                                                    • Persediaan akhir kedelai global naik 1.2 juta ton menjadi 124.3 juta karena tingginya persediaan di Brazil dan Argentina<\/strong> dikurangi dengan turunnya persediaan AS<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                                                      Analisa tehnikal untuk kedelai :<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

                                                      Support pertama di $10.37 berikut ke $ 10.09\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

                                                      Resistant pertama di $10.62 berikut ke $10.70<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

                                                      Loni T \/ Senior Analyst Vibiz Research Centre Division, Vibiz Consulting<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                                                      (Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) – Harga kedelai naik untuk hari ke tiga berturut-turut karena perkembangan positif dari hasil negosiasi antara AS \u2013 Cina pada akhir minggu.\u00a0 Harga kedelai Juli di CBOT naik 19.5 sen menjadi $10.7125 per bushel\u00a0 Kedelai adalah komoditas yang paling terpukul dalam perang dagang antara AS \u2013 Cina, karena Cina merupakan negara pengimpor […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101019,"featured_media":527629,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,14594],"tags":[14156,6619,6599,6601,5513,6555,2541,6471,7561,7275,6535,6469,6517],"class_list":["post-580481","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commodity","category-market-review","tag-agroconsult","tag-argentina","tag-as","tag-brazil","tag-cbot","tag-cina","tag-indonesia","tag-kedelai","tag-mesir","tag-mexico","tag-minyak-kedelai","tag-soymeal","tag-usda"],"yoast_head":"\nHarga Kedelai Naik Tiga Hari Berturut-turut - 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