{"id":582747,"date":"2025-06-24T15:21:50","date_gmt":"2025-06-24T08:21:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/?p=582747"},"modified":"2025-06-24T15:21:50","modified_gmt":"2025-06-24T08:21:50","slug":"harga-gandum-di-uni-eropa-turun-kekhawatiran-jika-harga-mahal-tidak-dapat-bersaing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2025\/06\/24\/harga-gandum-di-uni-eropa-turun-kekhawatiran-jika-harga-mahal-tidak-dapat-bersaing\/","title":{"rendered":"Harga Gandum di Uni Eropa Turun Kekhawatiran Jika Harga Mahal Tidak Dapat Bersaing"},"content":{"rendered":"

(Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) – Harga gandum Eropa turun pada hari Senin, menghapuskan keuntungan dari kenaikan minggu lalu, kekhawatiran dari pedagang harga mahal mengurangi daya saing ekspor.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Dengan Tekanan tambahan dari penurunan harga pasar Eropa \u00a0 yang lebih luas terkait dengan konflik di Timur Tengah.<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Harga gandum September di Paris, Euronext<\/strong> turun 1.7% menjadi 205 euro ($236.47) per MT<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Diwaktu yang sama harga gandum di the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT<\/strong>) turun 14 sen (2.3%) menjadi $5.70 per bushel ( 209.4 euro) per MT. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong>MARS<\/strong> lembaga pengawasan tanaman menaikan outlook tahun ini untuk gandum Uni Eropa karena perkiraan di Selatan Eropa \u00a0cuaca kering sehingga mempengaruhi hasil di utara di Eropa.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Baik Harga gandum di Eropa maupun Rusia naik 2%<\/strong> pada minggu lalu karena meningkatnya ketegangan geopolitik dan faktor cuaca di beberapa negara termasuk Rusia.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Mars<\/strong> pengawas pertumbuhan tanaman pada hari Senin memperkirakan hasil gandum di Uni Eropa<\/strong><\/em> sebesar 6.05 MT per ha dibanding 6.04 MT pada bulan lalu. Kenaikan 9% dari tahun lalu karena tahun lalu hujan mengganggu panen dan juga naik 5% dari rata-rata 5 tahun.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Perancis dan Negara Benelux<\/strong> menderita karena hujan tidak turun sementara gandum musim \u00a0dingin sudah memasuki masa untuk digiling. Ketika cuaca kerint berlanjut maka hasil gandum musim dingin dan \u00a0\u00a0musim semi akan rusak.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Musim panas 2025<\/strong> diperkirakan akan lebih panas dan kering<\/em> lebih dari biasanya dan akan meluas dari Inggris sampai Laut Hitam<\/strong>, laporan cuaca kering di Eropa dilaporkan terpisah oleh MARS<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span>RUSIA\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ekspor gandum Rusia meningkat<\/em> pada minggu lalu ditengah meningkatnya ketegangan \u00a0geopolitik dan masalah cuaca di sejumlah negara termasuk Rusia.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga gandum Rusia<\/strong> yang mengandung 12.5% protein di FOB pengiriman akhir Juli $225 per MT pada akhir minggu lalu. Naik $5 dari minggu sebelumnya.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The SovEcon<\/strong> memperkirakan tanaman baru harganya $226-230 per \u00a0ton dibanding $225 -$229 pada minggu lalu.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga gandum Rusia<\/strong> dapat menguasai pangsa pasar\u00a0 setelah kenaikan tajam dari harga gandum Uni\u00a0<\/strong> Eropa.<\/strong><\/span>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

SovEcon memperkirakan ekspor gandum Juni turun menjadi 1.2 juta ton dari 1.5 juta ton. Sedangkan IKAR \u00a0memperkirakan 1 juta ton.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusagrotrans menaikkan perkiraan ekspor Juni 2025 menjadi 1.25 juta ton dari 1.06 juta ton . Operator kereta api memperkirakan ekspor Juli 2025 pada periode yang sama tahun lalu menjadi 3.6 juta \u2013 4 juta ton.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Panen akan dimulai di wilayah Rusia. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span>Penanaman biji-bijian melambat setelah dimulai dengan cepat menandakan \u00a0berkurangnya keuntungan.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

SovEcon<\/strong> mengurangi perkiraan area gandum musim semi di Rusia<\/strong> menjadi terendah dalam satu dekade menjadi 11.8 juta ha dari 12.7 juta ha , dibanding 12.3 juta ha di 2024.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Minggu lalu Rostov<\/strong> bergabung dengan negara lain yang lebih besar ladang biji-bijiannya Krasnodar, setelah menyatakan bahwa negaranya dalam keadaan kekeringan di daerah utara.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada saat yang sama Kementerian Pertanian memperkirakan hasil panen lebih tinggi dari tahun lalu.<\/em> Panen gandum akan mencapai 90 juta ton. Export pada musim yang baru diperkirakan 45 juta ton.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Analisa tehnikal untuk gandum di CBOT:<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n

Support pertama di $5.58\u00a0 berikut ke $ 5.49<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Resistant pertama di $5.81\u00a0 berikut ke $6.05<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Loni T \/ Senior Analyst Vibiz Research Centre Division, Vibiz Consulting<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) – Harga gandum Eropa turun pada hari Senin, menghapuskan keuntungan dari kenaikan minggu lalu, kekhawatiran dari pedagang harga mahal mengurangi daya saing ekspor.\u00a0 Dengan Tekanan tambahan dari penurunan harga pasar Eropa \u00a0 yang lebih luas terkait dengan konflik di Timur Tengah.\u00a0 Harga gandum September di Paris, Euronext turun 1.7% menjadi 205 euro […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101019,"featured_media":482581,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,7003],"tags":[15094,5513,6727,6617,8041,15037,867,2517,10385,15093,1325],"class_list":["post-582747","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commodity","category-quarterly-review","tag-benelux","tag-cbot","tag-chicago","tag-gandum","tag-ikar","tag-mars","tag-perancis","tag-rusia","tag-sovecon","tag-the-euronext","tag-uni-eropa"],"yoast_head":"\nHarga Gandum di Uni Eropa Turun Kekhawatiran Jika Harga Mahal Tidak Dapat Bersaing - 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