{"id":585245,"date":"2025-08-14T09:29:26","date_gmt":"2025-08-14T02:29:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/?p=585245"},"modified":"2025-08-14T09:29:26","modified_gmt":"2025-08-14T02:29:26","slug":"harga-gandum-naik-perkiraan-ekspor-gandum-as-2025-26-meningkat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2025\/08\/14\/harga-gandum-naik-perkiraan-ekspor-gandum-as-2025-26-meningkat\/","title":{"rendered":"Harga Gandum Naik, Perkiraan Ekspor Gandum AS 2025\/26 Meningkat"},"content":{"rendered":"

(Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) Harga gandum pada penutupan pasar hari Rabu naik setelah Laporan WASDE masih melanjutkan kenaikannya perkiraan ekspor meningkat.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga gandum September di CBOT<\/strong> naik 2.25% menjadi $5.0725 per bushel<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Perkiraan untuk Laporan \u00a0Penjualan Ekspor Mingguan dari USDA<\/strong> hari Kamis pagi, analis memperkirakan penjualan antara 400,000 \u2013 850,000 MT.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Laporan Perkiraan Persediaan dan Permintaan Agustus, World Agriculture Supply Demand Estimate (WASDE)<\/span><\/b> \u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n

Outlook Gandum AS 2025\/26<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

    \n
  • Persediaan gandum sedikit, berkurangnya penggunaan domestik, dan ekspor yang tinggi, sehingga persediaan akhir kecil.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
      \n
    • Perkiraan produksi gandum turun 2 juta bushel menjadi 1,927 juta dengan area panen berkurang hanya beberapa daerah hasilnya tinggi. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
        \n
      • Hasil dari gandum naik 0.1 bushel menjadi 52.7 bushel per are.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
          \n
        • Penggunaan domestik turun 5 juta bushel karena penggunaan untuk bahan makanan berkurang sesuai dengan Laporan Penggilingan Terigu dari NASS.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
            \n
          • Ekspor naik 25 juta bushel menjadi 875 juta naiknya pemesanan dan pengiriman, terutama jenis Hard Red Winter. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
              \n
            • Perkiraan persediaan akhir dikurangi 21 juta bushel menjadi 869 juta.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                \n
              • Harga rata-rata petani untuk gandum 2025\/26 dikurangi $0.10 per bushel menjadi $5.30 per bushel<\/span> \u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                Outlook Gandum Global 2025\/26<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

                  \n
                • Persediaan berkurang, konsumsi kurang, perdagangan meningkat sehingga persediaan akhir turun.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                    \n
                  • Persediaan diperkirakan akan turun 2.5 juta ton menjadi 1,069.6 juta karena produksi berkurang dari Cina, Brazil, dan Argentina,<\/strong> tetapi produksi Uni Eropa meningkat.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                      \n
                    • Persediaan awal diperkirakan sedikit di negara-negara Ukraina, Saudi Arabia dan Philipina. <\/strong><\/span>\u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                        \n
                      • Produksi Cina<\/strong> diperkirakan turun 2 juta ton menjadi 140.0 juta menurut National Bereau Statistics data, hasil gandum berkurang diluar perkiraan.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                          \n
                        • Produksi gandum Uni Eropa<\/strong> diperkirakan naik 1 juta ton menjadi 138.3 juta tertinggi sejak 2021\/22, cuaca yang membaik selama bulan terakhir. Produksi meningkat di Romania dan Slovakia.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                            \n
                          • Konsumsi Global diperkirakan turun 1.1 juta ton menjadi 809.5 juta terutama karena penggunaan gandum untuk makanan ternak berkurang di Cina, Indonesia dan Filipina,<\/strong> kecuali penggunaan \u00a0di Uni \u00a0Eropa. <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                              \n
                            • Perdagangan global meningkat 0.5 juta ton menjadi 213.5 juta kenaikan ekspor dari AS.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
                                \n
                              • Perkiraan persediaan akhir global 2025\/26 turun 1.4 juta ton menjadi 260.1 juta terendah sejak 2015\/16.<\/span> \u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

                                Importir Korea Selatan<\/strong> membeli 50,000 MT gandum AS dengan tender Rabu malam<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

                                Sovecon<\/strong> pada hari Selasa melaporkan perkiraan hasil gandum Rusia di 2025 dinaikan menjadi \u00a085.2 juta MT naik dari perkiraan sebelumnya 83.3 MMT.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>Area tanam gandum Rusia sebesar 26.9 ha naik dari perkiraan sebelumnya 25.5 juta ha.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

                                Analisa tehnikal untuk gandum<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n

                                Support pertama di $4.96 berikut ke $4.84<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

                                Resistance pertama di $5.26 berikut ke $5.41<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

                                Loni T \/ Senior Analyst Vibiz Research Centre Division, Vibiz Consulting<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                                (Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) Harga gandum pada penutupan pasar hari Rabu naik setelah Laporan WASDE masih melanjutkan kenaikannya perkiraan ekspor meningkat.\u00a0 Harga gandum September di CBOT naik 2.25% menjadi $5.0725 per bushel\u00a0 Perkiraan untuk Laporan \u00a0Penjualan Ekspor Mingguan dari USDA hari Kamis pagi, analis memperkirakan penjualan antara 400,000 \u2013 850,000 MT.\u00a0 Laporan Perkiraan Persediaan dan Permintaan […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101019,"featured_media":584303,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,7003],"tags":[6619,6601,5513,6555,6617,2541,2317,8185,7745,2517,8479,7547,1325,6517,8241],"class_list":["post-585245","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commodity","category-quarterly-review","tag-argentina","tag-brazil","tag-cbot","tag-cina","tag-gandum","tag-indonesia","tag-korea-selatan","tag-philipina","tag-romania","tag-rusia","tag-saudi-arabia","tag-ukraina","tag-uni-eropa","tag-usda","tag-wasde"],"yoast_head":"\nHarga Gandum Naik, Perkiraan Ekspor Gandum AS 2025\/26 Meningkat - 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