{"id":586984,"date":"2025-09-18T14:16:00","date_gmt":"2025-09-18T07:16:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/?p=586984"},"modified":"2025-09-18T14:16:00","modified_gmt":"2025-09-18T07:16:00","slug":"harga-gula-turun-ke-harga-terendah-1-minggu-karena-produksi-brazil-meningkat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2025\/09\/18\/harga-gula-turun-ke-harga-terendah-1-minggu-karena-produksi-brazil-meningkat\/","title":{"rendered":"Harga Gula Turun ke Harga Terendah 1 Minggu, Karena Produksi Brazil Meningkat"},"content":{"rendered":"

(Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) – Harga gula turun ke harga terendah 1 minggu pada hari Rabu, dan turun tajam karena produksi gula Brazil meningkat.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga gula Oktober di ICE New York<\/strong> turun 36 sen (2.26%) menjadi $15.54. Harga gula putih Desember di ICE London<\/strong> turun \u00a06.70 sen (1.44%) .<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga gula mengalami tekanan meningkatnya produksi gula Brazil. <\/span>Unica<\/span><\/b> melaporkan pada hari Rabu\u00a0produksi gula <\/span>Brazil<\/span><\/b>\u00a0\u00a0 di Tengah \u2013 Selatan pada pertengahan kedua Agustus naik\u00a0 18% dari tahun lalu menjadi 3,872 MT\u00a0 <\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Juga jumlah tebu yang digiling dari <\/span>pabrik gula\u00a0 Brazil\u00a0<\/span><\/b> pada pertengahan kedua Agustus naik 54.20% dari 48.78% dari tahun lalu pada periode yang sama.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Hasil gula kumulatif di 2025-26 di Brazil Tengah \u2013 Selatan<\/strong> sampai bulan\u00a0Agustus turun 1.9% dari tahun lalu menjadi 26,758 MMT.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga gula sudah turun sejak hari Selasa ketika trader Sucden<\/strong> mengatakan walaupun India<\/strong> dapat mengubah 4 MMT gula untuk diubah jadi etanol di 2025\/26 \u00a0tidak cukup untuk mengurangi surplus gula di negara tersebut sehingga mendorong pabrik gula India untuk mengekspor sebanyak 4 MMT gula \u00a0diatas perkiraan 2 MMT.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada Senin lalu<\/span> harga gula turun ke harga terendah 4 \u00bc tahun<\/span> setelah<\/span> Covrig Analytics<\/span><\/b> \u00a0\u00a0pabrik gula Brazil<\/strong> mempriotaskan produksi gula daripada etanol sehingga tebu yang digiling dibuat gula. Tren ini diperkirakan akan berlanjut karena peningkatan panen, mendorong hasil panen yang kering membuat pabrik membuat lebih banyak gula.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Prospek kenaikan ekspor dari India merupakan faktor yang menurunkan harga, setelah <\/span>the Indian Sugar and Bio Energi Manufacturers Association \u00a0<\/span><\/b>pada hari Kamis lalu<\/span> mengatakan sedang mengajukan ijin untuk mengekspor 2 MMT gula untuk musim 2025\/26 dimulai Oktober.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada 29 Agustus \u00a0<\/span>the International Sugar Organization (ISO)<\/span><\/b> \u00a0\u00a0memperkirakan\u00a0 pada tahun 2025\/26 terjadi defisit gula global untuk \u00a06 tahun berturut-turut.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

ISO<\/span><\/b> memperkirakan gula global di tahun 2025\/26 defisit 231,000 MT perbaikan dari defisit 4.88 MMT pada Februari 2024\/25.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The ISO <\/span><\/b>memperkirakan\u00a0 produksi gula global 2025\/26 naik 3.3% menjadi 180.6\u00a0 MMT dan konsumsi gula global 2025\/26\u00a0 naik 0.3% menjadi 180.8 MMT<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada 19 Agustus\u00a0 <\/span>Conab<\/span><\/b> memperkirakan produksi gula Brazil di 2025\/26 turun 3.1%\u00a0\u00a0 menjadi 44.5 MMT, dari perkiraan sebelumnya 45.9 MMT.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Conab melaporkan <\/span><\/b>pada bulan Juli<\/span> produksi gula Brazil di 2024\/25 turun 3.4% dari tahun lalu menjadi 44,118 MMT, karena hasil dari panen tebu turun karena kekeringan dan panas.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Perkiraan bahwa persediaan gula melimpah sehingga harga gula turun. Pada 30\u00a0 Juni <\/span>pedagang komoditi Czarnikow<\/span><\/b> memperkirakan bahwa akan terjadi surplus gula global 7.5 MMT pada tahun 2025\/26, surplus tertinggi dalam 8 tahun.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada 22 Mei Laporan\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>USDA\u00a0 <\/span><\/b>dalam laporan tahunan, memperkirakan produksi gula global di 2025\/26 naik 4.7% dari tahun lalu menjadi 189,318 MMT sehingga\u00a0 persediaan akhir gula global\u00a0 41,188 MMT naik 7.5% dari tahun lalu<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada 22 Mei perkiraan USDA \u2013 FAS<\/strong> konsumsi\u00a0 gula global naik 1.4% dari tahun lalu mencapai rekor177.921 MMT<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Kenaikan ekspor\u00a0 India membuat harga gula turun<\/span><\/i>, karena\u00a0hujan di musim monsoon membuat produksi gula meningkat.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Meteorological Department India<\/span><\/b> pada hari Rabu\u00a0 melaporkan kumulatif curah hujan monsoon secara kumulatif 826.2 mm atau 8% diatas normal sampai 10 September.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Harga gula turun karena <\/span>kenaikan produksi gula di India<\/span><\/b>. Pada 2 Juni<\/span> India National Federation of Cooperative Sugar Factories<\/span><\/b> memperkirakan produksi gula <\/span>India<\/span><\/b> di 2025\/26\u00a0 naik 19% dari tahun lalu menjadi 34.9 MMT karena perluasan area tanaman tebu.\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

The India Sugar\u00a0 Mills Association (ISMA)<\/span><\/b>\u00a0 produksi gula India di 2024\/25 turun 17.5% menjadi 26.2 MMT, jumlah terendah 5 tahun<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Outlook produksi gula<\/span> Thailand<\/span><\/b> tinggi sehingga menurunkan harga gula. Pada 2 Mei <\/span>Thailand\u2019s Office of Cane and Sugar Board <\/span><\/b>melaporkan produksi gula 2024\/25 naik 14% dari tahun lalu menjadi 10.00 MMT<\/span>\u00a0<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pada 22 Mei perkiraan <\/span>USDA \u2013 FAS<\/span><\/b> bahwa produksi gula <\/span>Brazil<\/span><\/b> 2025\/26 naik 2.3% dari tahun lalu menjadi 44.7 MMT.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Juga memperkirakan produksi gula<\/span> India\u00a0<\/span><\/b> di 2025\/26 akan naik 25% dari tahun lalu menjadi 35.3 MMT, karena hujan di musim monsoon menguntungkan bagi tanaman gula dan meningkatkan hasil gula per are.<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Produksi gula <\/span>Thailand <\/span><\/b>2025\/26 diperkirakan naik 2% dari tahun lalu menjadi 10.3 MMT<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Analisa tehnikal untuk gula<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/b>\u00a0<\/span><\/i>\u00a0<\/span><\/h4>\n

Support pertama di $15.30 dan berikut ke $14.70<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Resistance pertama di $16.60 dan berikut ke $ 17.20<\/span>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Loni T \/ Senior Analyst Vibiz Research Centre Division, Vibiz Consulting<\/span> \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

(Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) – Harga gula turun ke harga terendah 1 minggu pada hari Rabu, dan turun tajam karena produksi gula Brazil meningkat.\u00a0 Harga gula Oktober di ICE New York turun 36 sen (2.26%) menjadi $15.54. Harga gula putih Desember di ICE London turun \u00a06.70 sen (1.44%) .\u00a0 Harga gula mengalami tekanan meningkatnya produksi gula […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101019,"featured_media":586985,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,7003],"tags":[6601,7907,7525,3445,8915,7803,2505,9749,9635,13369,15259,2513,9673],"class_list":["post-586984","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commodity","category-quarterly-review","tag-brazil","tag-conab","tag-etanol","tag-gula","tag-ice-london","tag-ice-new-york","tag-india","tag-isma","tag-iso","tag-safras-and-mercado","tag-sucden","tag-thailand","tag-usda-fas"],"yoast_head":"\nHarga Gula Turun ke Harga Terendah 1 Minggu, Karena Produksi Brazil Meningkat - Vibiznews.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2025\/09\/18\/harga-gula-turun-ke-harga-terendah-1-minggu-karena-produksi-brazil-meningkat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Harga Gula Turun ke Harga Terendah 1 Minggu, Karena Produksi Brazil Meningkat - Vibiznews.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(Vibiznews \u2013 Commodity) – Harga gula turun ke harga terendah 1 minggu pada hari Rabu, dan turun tajam karena produksi gula Brazil meningkat.\u00a0 Harga gula Oktober di ICE New York turun 36 sen (2.26%) menjadi $15.54. 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