{"id":604614,"date":"2026-11-08T18:53:07","date_gmt":"2026-11-08T11:53:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/?p=604614"},"modified":"2026-11-08T18:54:17","modified_gmt":"2026-11-08T11:54:17","slug":"pasar-keuangan-bertahan-rebound-terbatas-akan-berlanjut-domestic-market-outlook-9-13-november-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2026\/11\/08\/pasar-keuangan-bertahan-rebound-terbatas-akan-berlanjut-domestic-market-outlook-9-13-november-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Pasar Keuangan Bertahan, Rebound Terbatas; akan Berlanjut? &#8212; Domestic Market Outlook, 9-13 November 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>(Vibiznews \u2013 Editor\u2019s Note) \u2013 Pasar investasi domestik pada seminggu berlalu diwarnai dengan sejumlah isyu, di antaranya:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Pasar keuangan di minggu lalu fluktuatif dan berakhir <em>rebound<\/em> terbatas, agak <em>flat<\/em>.<\/li>\n<li>Rilis pertumbuhan PDB kuartal III: 5,47% (yoy) yang melebihi estimasi, mengangkat sentimen positif.<\/li>\n<li>Inflasi Oktober turun ke 3,23% (yoy).<\/li>\n<li>Sentimen global saat ini sekitar arah kebijakan bisnis Partai Demokrat AS dan the Fed di akhir tahun.<\/li>\n<li>Data ekonomi yang diperhatikan pasar pekan mendatang ini adalah rilis keyakinan konsumen Oktober pada hari Senin nanti; serta data penjualan ritel September pada hari Selasa nanti.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Minggu berikutnya, isyu prospek ekonomi dalam dan luar negeri, akan kembali mewarnai pergerakan pasar. Seperti apa dinamika pasar hari-hari ini? Berikut detail dari Vibiznews Domestic Market Review and Outlook 9-13 November 2026.<\/p>\n<p>===<\/p>\n<p>Minggu yang baru lewat IHSG di pasar modal Indonesia terpantau fluktuatif, sempat tergelincir ke 74 bulan terendahnya lalu bangkit dan berakhir menguat tipis secara mingguannya, di antara <em>bargain hunting<\/em> atas sejumlah saham perbankan yang sudah <em>oversold<\/em> posisinya, serta ditolong rilis pertumbuhan PDB kuartal tiga: 5,47% yang mendongkrak <em>rebound<\/em> IHSG. Sementara itu, bursa kawasan Asia pada seminggu ini umumnya <em>mixed<\/em> dengan bias melemah ditekan koreksi sektor AI dan Semiconductor oleh kekhawatiran akan diperketatnya regulasi AI oleh Kongres Partai Demokrat yang menang pemilu sela di AS. Secara mingguan IHSG ditutup agak <em>flat<\/em> dengan menguat tipis 0,13%, atau 6,621 poin, ke level 5.050,429.<\/p>\n<p>Untuk minggu berikutnya (9-13 November 2026), IHSG kemungkinan akan berupaya melanjutkan <em>rebound<\/em> namun tetap ditahan sentimen negatif MSCI, dengan mencermati sentimen bursa regional sepekan depan. Secara mingguan, IHSG berada antara <em>resistance<\/em> di level 5.455 dan 5.912. Sedangkan bila menemui tekanan jual di level ini, <em>support<\/em> ke level 4,824 dan bila tembus ke level 4,764.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Mata uang rupiah terhadap dollar AS pekan berlalu bergerak <em>volatile <\/em>dan <em>rebound<\/em> signifikan di 3 hari terakhir pasar, setelah rilis pertumbuhan PDB Q3 yang melampaui estimasi dan turunnya lagi harga minyak mentah dunia. Rupiah secara mingguannya berakhir menguat terbatas 17 poin atau 0,09% ke level Rp18.103 per USD. Sementara, dollar global fluktuatif, dari 5 minggu terendahnya lalu meloncat di hari terakhir pasar mendekati 3 minggu terkuatnya, oleh rilis NFP yang melampaui prediksi dan mendorong estimasi kenaikan suku bunga the Fed paling lambat Desember ini.<\/p>\n<p>Kurs USD\/IDR pada minggu mendatang diperkirakan akan berbalik <em>uptrend <\/em>lagi walau agak konsolidasi, atau rupiah kemungkinan dalam bias tekanan mengarah ke area rekor terendah, dalam <em>range<\/em> antara <em>resistance<\/em> di level Rp18.183 dan Rp18.220, sementara <em>support<\/em> di level Rp17.905 dan Rp17.875.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Harga obligasi rupiah Pemerintah Indonesia jangka panjang 10 tahun terpantau turun terbatas secara mingguannya, terlihat dari pergerakan naik tipis <em>yields<\/em> obligasi \u2013di minggu keempatnya&#8211; dan berakhir ke level 7,692%. Sementara <em>yields<\/em> US Treasury terpantau menurun di pekan kelimanya.<\/p>\n<p>===<\/p>\n<p>Berdasarkan data Badan Pusat Statistik, IHK pada Oktober 2026 tercatat mengalami inflasi sebesar 0,22% (mtm), sehingga secara tahunan IHK mengalami inflasi sebesar 3,23% (yoy) atau lebih rendah dibandingkan dengan realisasi pada bulan sebelumnya sebesar 3,28% (yoy).<\/p>\n<p>Berdasarkan data Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS), neraca perdagangan Indonesia pada September 2026 mencatat surplus sebesar 3,36 miliar dolar AS, melanjutkan surplus pada Agustus 2026 sebesar 3,55 miliar dolar AS.<\/p>\n<p>Hasil asesmen KSSK menunjukkan bahwa stabilitas fiskal, moneter, dan sektor keuangan selama triwulan III 2026 tetap terjaga, didukung oleh koordinasi dan sinergi kebijakan yang erat antarotoritas. Perekonomian domestik masih menunjukkan ketahanan, tecermin dari pertumbuhan ekonomi yang tetap solid dan intermediasi keuangan yang terjaga.<\/p>\n<p>Pertumbuhan ekonomi triwulan III 2026 tercatat 5,47% (yoy), meningkat dari pertumbuhan ekonomi pada triwulan sebelumnya sebesar 5,29% (yoy). Ke depan, berlanjutnya berbagai stimulus Pemerintah, membaiknya ekspektasi pelaku ekonomi, serta menguatnya berbagai sumber pertumbuhan ekonomi diprakirakan mendorong pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia tetap baik sehingga secara keseluruhan tahun 2026 diprakirakan berada dalam kisaran 4,9-5,7%.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>===<\/p>\n<p>Berita tentang pergerakan pasar di Amerika dan Eropa, termasuk faktor-faktor pemicunya, tidak pernah surut untuk memengaruhi naik turunnya pasar investasi di global dan dalam negeri. Satu saat sepertinya memberi harapan, pada kesempatan lain memutuskan ekspektasinya. Sangat tidak menentu. Ketidakpastian semakin jelas merupakan suatu kepastian di pasar ini. Tidak perlu berharap pasar yang akan berubah. Kita, sebagai investor, yang harus beradaptasi dengan ketidakpastian pasar.<\/p>\n<p>Vibiznews.com dapat menjadi pendamping untuk memberikan pencerahan di tengah pasang surut, naik turun, dan ketidakjelasan pasar. Bagi Anda kami hadir. Untuk para partner, kami sampaikan terimakasih telah bersama terus dengan kami, partner sukses investasi Anda, pembaca setia Vibiznews!<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Alfred Pakasi\/VBN\/MP Vibiz Consulting<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Vibiznews \u2013 Editor\u2019s Note) \u2013 Pasar investasi domestik pada seminggu berlalu diwarnai dengan sejumlah isyu, di antaranya: Pasar keuangan di minggu lalu fluktuatif dan berakhir rebound terbatas, agak flat. Rilis pertumbuhan PDB kuartal III: 5,47% (yoy) yang melebihi estimasi, mengangkat sentimen positif. Inflasi Oktober turun ke 3,23% (yoy). Sentimen global saat ini sekitar arah kebijakan [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":101011,"featured_media":531701,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[27,669,29,14922,3,227],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-604614","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles-of-the-week","category-column","category-economy-business","category-economy-and-business","category-featured","category-market-outlook"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Pasar Keuangan Bertahan, Rebound Terbatas; akan Berlanjut? - Domestic Market Outlook, 9-13 November 2026 - Vibiznews.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/vibiznews.com\/index.php\/2026\/11\/08\/pasar-keuangan-bertahan-rebound-terbatas-akan-berlanjut-domestic-market-outlook-9-13-november-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pasar Keuangan Bertahan, Rebound Terbatas; akan Berlanjut? - Domestic Market Outlook, 9-13 November 2026 - Vibiznews.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(Vibiznews \u2013 Editor\u2019s Note) \u2013 Pasar investasi domestik pada seminggu berlalu diwarnai dengan sejumlah isyu, di antaranya: Pasar keuangan di minggu lalu fluktuatif dan berakhir rebound terbatas, agak flat. 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